. Dow Futures Rise Ahead of Crucial Federal Reserve Meeting

Dow Futures Rise Ahead of Crucial Federal Reserve Meeting

18 Sep 2023

Dow Futures Rise as the Fed Meeting Dominates Activity.

The world of finance is once again abuzz with anticipation as U.S. stock futures show a slight increase on Monday. Investors, always watchful, are gearing up for a highly anticipated Federal Reserve policy meeting, marking the beginning of a brand-new week on a cautious note.

The Dow’s Ascent

The futures contract for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) reflects a rise of 35 points, translating to a 0.2% increase. This upward movement sets the stage for a week that promises significant financial deliberations.

The Fed’s Dominance

The pivotal event for this week is undeniably the current U.S. Federal Reserve policy-setting meeting. This two-day event, scheduled to conclude on Wednesday, is expected to set the tone for the future trajectory of financial markets.

What’s at Stake

One of the key questions on everyone’s mind is the direction of interest rates. It is widely predicted that the U.S. central bank will maintain interest rates within the range of 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the devil is in the details, and investors will be watching policymakers closely for any hints regarding their plans for borrowing costs for the remainder of the year.

Economic Realities

Adding to the complexity of this situation is the recent economic data. Consumer prices experienced their most significant increase in August in 14 months. This was primarily attributed to rising gasoline prices, even though the overall inflation rate slowed to its weakest pace in nearly two years. The Fed is now grappling with the task of balancing these inflationary pressures with the need to support economic activity.

Expert Insights

Analysts at ING have weighed in on the matter, stating, “As with the June hold decision, the Fed is set to suggest that the decision should be interpreted as part of its process of a slowing in the pace of rate hikes rather than an actual pause. While inflation is decreasing, it is still too high, and the Fed can’t take any chances because the labor market is still extremely tight, and activity is holding steady.”

Technical Analysis

Now, let’s take a closer look at the technical side of things. The Dow Jones is currently trading in an upward channel, indicating a positive trend. Furthermore, it’s trading above both the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), a bullish sign. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests bullishness, while the Stochastic indicator points to a neutral trend. In terms of levels, the immediate resistance is at 35,017.97, with the immediate support level at 34,873.94.

Trading Strategies

For those looking to make informed trading decisions on the Dow Jones this week, consider the following insights. After a rapid increase, the price of the Dow Jones experienced a decline but found support, resulting in a resurgence. Currently, the price is situated at a significant resistance area. If this resistance is breached, further upside potential is likely.

Trade Suggestion:

  • Entry at 35,116.80
  • Target at 35,387.09
  • Stop Loss at 34,941.48

In conclusion, the financial landscape is poised for significant shifts as the Federal Reserve meeting takes center stage. Investors are watching closely as they seek to navigate the complexities of inflation, interest rates, and economic activity. The technical indicators suggest a positive outlook for the Dow Jones, but the road ahead remains uncertain.