. ECB bets boost euro, dollar loses ground - Capital Street Fx

ECB bets boost euro, dollar loses ground

30 Aug 2022

EURUSD is trading up 0.26% at 1.0021

The euro climbed past parity against a softening dollar on Tuesday, ahead of German inflation that will help indicate the likelihood of a super-sized European Central Bank rate hike.

The European common currency was 0.32% higher at $1.00295, buoyed by the rate bets and extending the previous day’s rally, albeit from near 20-year lows.

The chances of a 75-basis point move have been rising after a parade of ECB speakers at the Fed’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole backed the case for a big hike.

German CPI data due later in the day will help provide an indication of how aggressively the ECB will need to move to curtail inflation. Preliminary data released earlier showed Spanish national consumer prices rose 10.4% in August from a year earlier, down from 10.8% the previous month.

Also on traders’ radars are several ECB speakers due to make public remarks later on Tuesday, which could guide markets towards or away from such a large increase, as well as gas prices, which are lower than they have been as European countries’ storage facilities fill up.

The dollar index – which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, with the euro the most heavily weighted – stood at 108.46, after dropping back from 109.48 overnight, a high not seen since September 2002.

An aggressive programme of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve has been supporting the dollar, and U.S. jobs figures due on Friday will be closely watched for further clues to the interest rate outlook

On technical fronts EURUSD: RSI stood at 35.13 and currently it is trading below all MA. So, SELL position can be taken with following target and stoploss:

TRADE SIGNAL – : EURUSD – SELL: 1.0022, TARGET: 0.9944, STOP LOSS: 1.0069