Euro To Break the 1.1700 Handle as Political Turmoil Persists, Dollar Supported by Rate Hike Prospects

The euro reversed lower against the greenback on Thursday after two days of closing higher in a row. While the single currency was fragile amidst rising political turmoil and pessimism over possibility of the European Central bank tapering its bond-buying program, the U.S. dollar has been boosted by upbeat domestic data and hawkish comments from Fed officials.

The euro lost 0.45 percent versus its American counterpart on Thursday, sending the pair back down to near the benchmark level 1.17000 where it reversed higher on September 03rd. The single currency lost ground following the release of the minutes of the European Central Bank’s September meeting which showed that policy makers remained concerned over the euro’s volatility. The minutes reduced expectations that the ECB will begin reducing its quantitative easing program after its October meeting.

Whereas, after the regional government of Catalonia on Wednesday announced that they would declare independence from Spain on Monday, further depressing the currency.

The dollar, on the other hand, was supported strongly after Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Patrick Harker on Thursday suggested one more rate hike this year and three next year. Upbeat data backed up the expectations of the Federal Reserve raising rates at the December meeting with initial jobless claims fell more than expected.

According to the reported published by the U.S. Department of Labor, unemployment claims dropped to 260,000 last week from a reading of 272,000 recorded in the preceding week and was better than analysts’ forecast calling for a figure of 266,000.

Additional reports from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed U.S. trade deficit narrowed in August. As exports climbed to a two-and-a-half year high and factory orders increased more than projected, U.S. trade deficit narrowed to 42.4B from 43.7B in July.

Trade suggestion

Sell Stop at 1.17000, Take profit at 1.16600, Stop loss at 1.17200

 

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