. Oil Prices Decline Amid Extended OPEC+ Supply Cuts Until 2025

Oil Prices Decline Amid Extended OPEC+ Supply Cuts Until 2025

Oil Prices Decline Amid Extended OPEC+ Supply Cuts Until 2025

03 Jun 2024

Oil edges lower as investors evaluate the impact of extended OPEC+ supply cuts.

At the beginning of the US trading session this Monday, oil prices are trading lower, as traders seem to be disregarding the decision by OPEC+ to extend current production cuts into 2025 to bolster prices. Despite the widespread commitment to maintaining tight supply, there is surprise over certain oil producers within the organization being permitted to ease some voluntary production cuts. The primary beneficiary of this adjustment is the United Arab Emirates, which can now increase its market presence and sell more barrels. However, Saudi Arabia and Russia will still bear the majority of the burden by maintaining a daily drawdown of 2 million barrels, gradually phasing it out starting in October.

The coalition known as OPEC+, consisting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies led by Russia, is presently cutting output by a combined 5.86 million barrels per day (bpd), representing roughly 5.7% of global demand.

The coalition has decided to prolong a significant portion of its production reductions until 2025 to bolster the market amid weaker-than-anticipated demand growth, prolonged high interest rates in major Western economies, concerns about sluggish demand growth in leading oil importer China and increasing non-OPEC output.

The agreement involves prolonging 3.66 million barrels per day (bpd) of cuts, originally set to expire this year, until the conclusion of 2025.

Additionally, the agreement extends 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of voluntary cuts, which were set to expire by the end of this month, until September’s end. These cuts will then be gradually phased out by September 2025.

The front-month Brent contract has dropped by a few dollars since Reuters initially reported the possibility of an OPEC+ deal last week.