Oil Prices Fall On Fears Of Further Interest Rate Hikes From The Fed – 10 – March- 2023
10 Mar 2023
Due to fears of a rate increase in the United States, oil prices are expected to decline by 5% weekly
Concerns over the potential impact of significant interest rate increases in the United States on fuel demand caused oil to decline for a fourth session on Friday, setting the stage for its worst weekly drop in five weeks.
Brent dipped 63 cents, or 0.8%, to $80.96 a barrel by 1140 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was down 69 cents, or 0.9%, at $75.03.
Expectations of further rate hikes in the world’s largest economy and in Europe have clouded the global growth outlook and driven both crude benchmarks down more than 5% so far this week, their worst drop since early February.
A strengthening dollar is also making oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Global shares, which often move in tandem with oil prices, hit a two-month low on Friday as investors dumped banks on fears of contagion after a capital raising at Silicon Valley Bank.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has warned of higher and potentially faster rate hikes, saying the Fed was wrong in initially thinking inflation was “transitory”. Its next decision meeting is planned for March 21-22.
Broader U.S. employment data due at 1330 GMT looms as a crucial barometer of the health of the U.S. labour market, considered tight, and as an indicator on the direction of interest rates.
Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 205,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey.
“A forecast-beating number will be the final nail in the coffin for rate doves and should provide fresh ammo for oil bears,” PVM analyst Stephen Brennock said.
On the supply side, the United States was reported to have privately urged some commodity traders to shed concerns about shipping price-capped Russian oil in a bid to shore up supply.
Investors are closely monitoring export cuts from Russia, which decided to trim oil output by 500,000 barrels per day in March.
BRENT CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS DAILY CHART:
Brent Crude Oil is currently trading in the down channel.
Brent Crude Oil is currently trading below all SMA.
RSI is in buying zone which suggests bullishness and Stochastic is suggesting downtrend.
Brent Crude Oil immediate resistance is at 81.47 & its immediate support level is 80.68
HOW TO TRADE BRENT CRUDE OIL
Brent Crude Oil is trading in a down channel; currently, it has broken its previous day’s low and falling toward its important support zone. Further, we can see more fall to downside till it’s important to support.