Oil prices rise on supply concerns, recovering Chinese demand – 07 March 2023
07 Mar 2023
On supply worries and optimism for demand from China, oil prices are trending upward.
Oil prices edged up after industry executives flagged concerns about limited spare capacity in the market and uncertainty over Russian supplies while demand from top crude importer China is recovering.
Brent crude futures recorded gains of 24 cents, or 0.28%, to $86.42 per barrel by 0405 GMT after settling 0.4% higher on Monday.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $80.69 per barrel, up 23 cents, or 0.29%, following a 1% gain in the previous session.
Brent prices are on track to rise for the sixth straight session, the longest stretch of gains since May 2022, buoyed by hopes of China’s demand recovery and as new refining capacity in Asia and the Middle East is being ramped up, processing cruder.
“The supply concerns that helped oil prices higher overnight likely stemmed from Chevron ‘s CEO comment that there’s ‘not a lot of swing capacity’ in oil markets,” Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC: CMWAY) analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note.
“The key unknown for 2023 will be the disruption to Russia’s oil and refined product exports.”
Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX) chief executive Mike Wirth said ships carrying Russian crude and products now must travel over longer distances to reach non-sanctioned markets while oil inventories and swing supplies are limited, making the global market vulnerable to any unexpected supply disruption.
Traders are keenly awaiting China’s oil trade data for January and February later Tuesday, looking for signals of a recovery in demand following Beijing’s lifting of pandemic controls late last year.
In the U.S., this week’s reports of crude and product inventories for the week ended March 3 are expected to show decreases, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.
This could be the first decrease in 10 weeks, taking into consideration earlier official Energy Information Administration data. [EIA/S]
The weekly reports from the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, are due at 4:30 p.m. ET (2130 GMT) on Tuesday, and at 10:30 a.m. (1530 GMT) on Wednesday from the Energy Information Administration.
For the remainder of March, analysts’ price expectations for the oil benchmarks remain bullish.
“The oil market was getting closer to the bottom of its recent trading range, and it seems too many upside risks should help prices stay comfortably above the $80 level for now,” said OANDA’s Edward Moya in a note to clients.
Wang Tao, a technical analyst at Reuters, said Brent was likely to stay within the range of $80.72 and $93.44 for the rest of the month, as it “seems to be bouncing within a rising channel”.
BRENT CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS DAILY CHART:
Brent Cude Oil is currently trading in up channel.
Brent Crude Oil is currently trading above all SMA.
RSI is in buying zone which suggests bullishness and Stochastic is suggesting up trend.
Brent Crude Oil immediate resistance is at 86.54 & its immediate support level is 85.91
HOW TO TRADE BRENT CRUDE OIL
Brent Crude Oil is trading in up channel; currently, it is at an important resistance zone, if it manages to break it then we might see more upside.