Oil prices slip from 2014 highs, supply concerns limit losses

Brent Oil was trading 0.42% down at  $88.05.

 Oil slipped on Thursday as investors took profits following a month-long rally in prices, but strong demand and short-term supply disruptions continue to support prices close to their highest levels since late 2014.

Brent crude futures fell 49 cents, or 0.6%, to $87.95 a barrel as of 0740 GMT, after falling more than $1 earlier. The global benchmark rose to $89.17 a barrel on Wednesday, its highest since October 2014.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for February delivery were down 6 cents, or 0.1%, at $86.90 a barrel, after dropping nearly $1 earlier. WTI climbed to as much as $87.91 on Wednesday, the highest since October 2014.

The February WTI contract will expire on Thursday and the most actively traded contract, for March delivery, is at $85.41 a barrel, down 0.5%.

“The International Energy Agency said global oil demand is on track to hit pre-pandemic levels,” analysts at ANZ bank said in a note.

“Shorter-term supply disruptions are also helping tighten markets. Brent crude rallied sharply after reports a key oil pipeline running from Iraq to Turkey was knocked out by an explosion.”

However, the flow of crude oil through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline has resumed, after it was halted on Tuesday due to a blast near the pipeline in the southeastern Turkish province of Kahramanmaras, officials said on Wednesday.

Supply concerns have mounted this week after Yemen’s Houthi group attacked the United Arab Emirates, the third-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). Meanwhile, Russia, the world’s second-largest oil producer, has built up a large troop presence near Ukraine’s border, stoking fears of invasion and subsequent supply uncertainties.

Underpinning oil prices is the broad post-coronavirus pandemic recovery in demand for fuel.

OPEC officials and analysts say that an oil rally may continue in the next few months, and prices could top $100 a barrel as demand shrugs off the spread of the Omicron COVID-19 variant.

OPEC+, which groups the cartel with Russia and other producers, is struggling to hit a monthly output increase target of 400,000 barrels per day (BPD).

U.S. crude and gasoline stocks rose while distillate inventories fell last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday.

RSI Stood at 72.851, the current price is trading Above All the Moving Averages. So, a  Buy trade can be executed with the following target and stop-loss:

TRADE SIGNAL-Brent OilBuy: 88.00, TARGET:-94.00, STOP LOSS:- 85.00.

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