Supported by Suspended Operations in Chile’s Mines and China Trade Balance, Copper Soars

Copper futures prices rose for second day in a row on Thursday after upbeat Chinese trade balance and reports that mines in Chile – the world’s biggest copper exporter – have suspended key operations due to heavy rains.

Copper futures for July delivery added more than 0.5 percent after the Customs General Administration of China reported that the country’s overseas shipments accelerated in May compared to that of a year ago.

As stated by the data released on Thursday, China’s exports jumped 8.7 percent in May in dollar terms while imports soared 14.8 percent, bringing the trade balance to $40.81 billion dollars. China’s trade surplus in May widened from April’s $38.05 billion.

In yuan terms, exports climbed 15.5 percent and imports surged 22.1 percent, leaving a trade surplus of 281.6 billion yuan. Thanks to an improvement in global demand, both figures beat expectations. Copper prices increased as a result as the data showed a strong appetite for China’s imports of industrial commodities which helps boost resources prices worldwide.

Meanwhile, Reuters on Wednesday reported that operations in some locations in Chile were halted after the country’s northern area was hit by snowstorms. The harsh weather condition caused Chile’s emergency service Onemi to trigger its highest ‘red alert’ warning and to implement safety protocols in the region of Antofagasta.

BHP Billiton’s Escondida – the world’s biggest copper mine – said all of its operations had been suspended due to heavy snow. Antofagasta PLC and state-owned mining company Codelco also announced interruptions to productions at their mines after heavy rains lashed the high altitude desert region of Antofagasta.

Fig:Copper H1 Technical Chart

Copper rebounded strongly from a couple of moving averages. The commodity has officially escaped from the previous downtrend which was under downward pressure from two MAs. As can be seen from RSI index chart, the index did not only breach the central line but also surged to as high as 66.37, indicating a strong bullish momentum in the copper market. The commodity price is likely to extend its up moves. A resistance at 2.5930 is within the sight.

Trade suggestion

Buy Stop at 2.5700, Take profit at 2.5930, Stop loss at 2.5600

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