Crypto Market Analysis — March 18, 2026 | BTC · ETH · XRP · SOL | FOMC Decision Day
Crypto Market Analysis
March 18, 2026
FOMC Decision Day · BTC · ETH · XRP · SOL · Full Technical Breakdown with Trade Setups, Economic Calendar & Macro Context
Market Snapshot
Markets woke up to a changed mood. After six weeks of grinding lower in near-extreme fear, the global crypto complex is finally breathing — the Fear & Greed Index climbed from a dismal 15 to 28, total market cap re-crossed $2.65 trillion, and Ethereum printed its best 24-hour candle in months. But the spotlight today is squarely on one thing: the FOMC at 2:00 PM ET.
| Metric | Value (March 18) | Change vs March 17 | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Crypto Market Cap | $2.65 Trillion | +3.6% (24h) | Bullish |
| Total 24h Volume | $154 Billion | −12.6% vs prior day | Cautious |
| Fear & Greed Index | 28 — Fear | +5 pts from 23 | Improving |
| Bitcoin Dominance | 58.6% | +0.17% daily | Consolidating |
| Spot BTC ETF Inflows (March) | $1.3 Billion | 6 straight inflow days | Bullish |
| DeFi Volume Share | 9.3% | Stable | Neutral |
| RWA Tokenization (YoY) | $15.26B (+1,150%) | — | Structural |
| Strategy Inc. BTC Holdings | 761,068 BTC | +22,337 last week | Bullish |
Breaking News — Last 10 Hours
Here is every market-moving headline from the past 10 hours that experienced traders need to process before the FOMC bell rings this afternoon. We’ve cut the noise and kept only the catalysts that matter for price action in the next 24 hours.
| Time (UTC) | Headline | Assets Affected | Directional Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | FOMC Day-2 Begins. The Fed’s March 17–18 meeting concludes today at 14:00 ET. Markets pricing 95.5% probability of a hold at 3.50–3.75%. Dot plot and Powell press conference at 14:30 ET are the key events — the language, not the rate, moves markets. | BTC · ETH · All | HIGH IMPACT |
| 04:15 | Bitcoin Spot ETFs: 6 Consecutive Inflow Days. BlackRock added $139.4M, Fidelity $64.5M in the most recent session. Total March inflows reach $1.3 billion — the first positive ETF month since October 2025. | BTC | Bullish |
| 03:00 | Sam Altman’s World + Coinbase Launch AgentKit. AI identity verification for autonomous agents via x402 protocol and stablecoin micropayments. Total addressable market estimate: $3–5 trillion by 2030. Directly bullish for on-chain infrastructure plays. | ETH · SOL | Bullish |
| 02:30 | Citigroup Cuts BTC & ETH 12-Month Targets. Citi lowered BTC target from $143K to $112K, citing slowing ETF flows, weaker on-chain activity, and stalling U.S. crypto legislation. Bear-scenario price target set at $58K. | BTC · ETH | Bearish ST |
| 01:45 | Strategy Inc. Acquires 22,337 BTC for $1.57B. Funded via STRC preferred stock. Total holdings now 761,068 BTC. On pace to control 5% of circulating supply by year-end. Ranked among the firm’s five largest single purchases. | BTC | Bullish |
| 00:55 | Ethereum Foundation Releases 38-Page Mandate. Positions itself as a neutral steward focused on decentralized infrastructure. Community split — supporters call it principled, critics warn it signals a loss of direction at a critical institutional moment. | ETH | Mixed |
| 00:30 | Solana SIMD-0266 Upgrade Approved. Introduces p-tokens (compute-efficient model) to dramatically cut transaction costs. Mainnet launch expected April 2026. Whale accumulation confirmed — single $17M buy confirmed on-chain. | SOL | Bullish |
| 23:50 (prev) | U.S. CLARITY Act Advances in Committee. Defines SEC/CFTC jurisdictional boundaries for digital assets. Any Senate vote movement this week would be a binary catalyst — particularly for XRP, which remains subject to regulatory classification risk. | XRP · All | Bullish |
| 23:20 (prev) | Oil Prices Ease, Easing Inflation Pressure. Crude pulled back modestly after Israel/Iran tensions partially de-escalated. Reduces hawkish FOMC risk — a mild positive for risk assets including crypto. | BTC · All | Mildly Bullish |
| 22:45 (prev) | Standard Chartered: ETH to Outperform on TradFi Inflows. Analyst Geoff Kendrick reiterated that traditional finance capital flowing into Ethereum infrastructure is the primary medium-term driver. Institutional view increasingly constructive. | ETH | Bullish |
Economic Calendar — High-Impact Events
These are the confirmed high-impact macroeconomic events from the USA, UK, Japan, Australia, Europe and China that fall within or directly adjacent to the next 24-hour trading window. Each event’s potential crypto market impact is assessed.
| Time (ET) | Country | Event | Forecast / Previous | Impact | Crypto Directional Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | 🇺🇸 USA | FOMC Rate Decision — Federal funds rate, policy statement | Hold: 3.50–3.75% Prev: 3.50–3.75% |
★★★ HIGH | Hold = Neutral; Dovish language = Bullish; Hawkish = Bearish |
| 14:00 | 🇺🇸 USA | FOMC Dot Plot (SEP) — Summary of Economic Projections: rate path, GDP, PCE, unemployment forecasts | 1 cut in 2026 (consensus) Prev: 2 cuts (Sep 2025) |
★★★ HIGH | 2-cut dot = Bullish surge; 0-cut dot = Risk-off sell-off |
| 14:30 | 🇺🇸 USA | Chair Powell Press Conference — Forward guidance, oil shock commentary, inflation outlook | — Powell stepping down May 2026 |
★★★ HIGH | Tone matters most. Dovish = BTC +$4K–$8K; Hawkish = −$3K–$5K |
| 08:30 | 🇺🇸 USA | Housing Starts & Building Permits (February 2026) | Starts: ~1.44M; Permits: ~1.50M | ★★ MEDIUM | Minor direct impact; miss = slight risk-off |
| 07:00 | 🇬🇧 UK | UK CPI — February 2026 (Consumer Price Index YoY) | Forecast: 2.9% Prev: 3.0% |
★★★ HIGH | Hot CPI = GBP risk, mild global contagion; In-line = Neutral for crypto |
| 07:00 | 🇬🇧 UK | UK Core CPI YoY — February 2026 | Forecast: 3.6% Prev: 3.7% |
★★ HIGH | Sticky core = BoE hold; Global risk-off signal if above forecast |
| 19:50 (prev day) | 🇯🇵 Japan | Japan Trade Balance — February 2026 | Prev: ¥−2.76T deficit | ★★ MEDIUM | Yen volatility can spill into BTC liquidations; monitor USD/JPY |
| 19:30 (prev day) | 🇦🇺 Australia | RBA Meeting Minutes — March 2026 meeting rationale | Rate held at 4.35% Cut expected Q3 |
★★ MEDIUM | Dovish minutes = mild risk-on; Minor direct crypto impact |
| 02:00 (same day) | 🇨🇳 China | China House Price Index — February 2026 | Prev: −5.1% YoY | ★★ HIGH | Deeper decline = risk-off in Asian session; USDT liquidity watch |
| 02:00 (same day) | 🇨🇳 China | China Industrial Production & Retail Sales — YTD | IP Forecast: +5.8% Retail: +4.2% |
★★★ HIGH | Miss = bearish signal for risk assets globally including crypto |
| All Day | 🇪🇺 Europe | ECB Officials Speak — Several ECB members scheduled (Lagarde likely among them) | Rate: 2.65%; Next cut Q2 | ★★ MEDIUM | Dovish commentary = mild EUR risk-on lift for crypto |
FOMC Watch — Three Scenarios for Crypto
The Federal Reserve’s March 17–18 meeting is the most consequential macro event for crypto in Q1 2026. Current rates sit at 3.50–3.75% following three consecutive cuts in late 2025. Markets are pricing a 95.5% hold probability. Here’s what each scenario means for your positions.
| Scenario | Probability | BTC Reaction (est.) | ETH / Alts Reaction | Key Signal to Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🟡 Base Case: Hold + Neutral Dot Plot 2 cuts remain in 2026 (unchanged) |
~55% | $74K → $76K–$78K +3% to +5% |
ETH outperforms. XRP, SOL +5–8% within 24h | Powell’s inflation language; ETF flows March 19 |
| 🟢 Bull Case: Hold + Dovish Dot Plot Dot plot shifts to 2+ cuts or June cut signaled explicitly |
~20% | $74K → $79K–$82K +$5K to +$8K surge |
Altcoin rotation begins. ETH toward $2,600. XRP tests $1.80. | BTC dominance drops below 57%; SOL & XRP outperform |
| 🔴 Bear Case: Hold + Hawkish Dot Plot 1 cut reduced to 0; oil-shock inflation concerns dominate statement |
~25% | $74K → $68K–$70K −5% to −8% initial |
Sharp risk-off. ETH tests $2,100. SOL revisits $85 support. | BTC ETF outflows on March 19; USD strengthens |
BTC/USDT — Technical Analysis & Trade Setup
| Level Type | Price Zone | Significance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🔴 Major Resistance | $89,000 | Historical supply zone; Investtech confirmed ceiling | High |
| 🟠 Key Resistance | $76,500 | FOMC dovish breakout trigger; 0.382 Fib retracement | High |
| ⚪ Immediate Resistance | $75,000–$75,500 | Psychological round number; recent daily high | Medium |
| 📍 Current Price | ~$74,200 | Trading above 50-day MA ($73,348); below 5-day MA ($74,019) | — |
| 🟢 Immediate Support | $73,000–$73,348 | 50-day SMA dynamic support; Fibonacci pivot $73,760 | High |
| 🟢 Key Support | $70,743–$71,911 | Prior consolidation zone; BTC multi-week range base | High |
| 🔴 Major Support | $66,600–$66,700 | Investtech floor; breakdown below = test of $64,800 | Critical |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14-day) | 50.1 | Neutral | Neither overbought nor oversold. Room to move in both directions. FOMC will decide the next move. |
| 5-Day SMA | $74,019 | Sell Signal | Price marginally above — any rejection here re-confirms distribution |
| 50-Day SMA | $73,348 | Buy Signal | Dynamic support. Critical that BTC holds this on any post-FOMC dip |
| 200-Day SMA | ~$82,000 | Bearish macro | Price below 200-day SMA = structural pressure; needs reclaim for bull confirmation |
| MACD (Daily) | Histogram declining but turning | Converging | Negative territory but histogram narrowing — downward momentum slowing |
| Volume Balance | Positive | Bullish | Higher volume on up days vs. down days — accumulation pattern |
| ETF Flow (6 days) | +$962.8M net | Strongly Bullish | BlackRock ($139.4M) + Fidelity ($64.5M) leading institutional demand |
| Overall Daily Signal | 8 Buy / 4 Sell (MAs) | Strong Buy | Investing.com moving average composite: Strong Buy on daily |
Bitcoin is in a short-term rising trend channel (bullish) but still within a medium-term falling trend channel (bearish). This bifurcated structure is typical of early-stage recovery attempts following a major cycle correction. The week started with a confirmed bullish engulfing pattern after a 6-week consolidation range broke to the upside, driven by the ETF inflow surge. The current daily candle structure shows higher lows — a key prerequisite for a reversal — but no decisive breakout above the $75,000–$76,500 resistance cluster has yet been confirmed. The RSI is diverging positively against price (a bullish leading indicator), and volume on up days materially exceeds volume on down days. Intermediate candlestick patterns of note include a Hammer formation at the $70,500 low (reversal signal confirmed), and a cluster of Inside Bars at current levels indicating compression before the FOMC breakout move.
Setup Notes: Wait for the post-FOMC 30-minute candle (14:30–15:00 ET) to close. If BTC holds above $73,000 post-statement, the long setup is confirmed. Short scenario: If BTC breaks $71,500 on a hawkish dot plot, the next test is $70,743 → $68,500. Avoid leveraged positions ahead of 14:00 ET.
ETH/USDT — Technical Analysis & Trade Setup
| Level Type | Price Zone | Significance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🔴 Major Resistance | $2,800–$3,000 | 200-day EMA cluster; psychological round number; Standard Chartered target | High |
| 🟠 Key Resistance | $2,450–$2,500 | Recent swing high; prior support turned resistance; MACD signal line | High |
| ⚪ Immediate Resistance | $2,363–$2,400 | Current 24h high zone; whale distribution area identified on-chain | Medium |
| 📍 Current Price | ~$2,340 | Breaking above $2,342 — confirmed 8.5% surge; whale accumulation confirmed | — |
| 🟢 Immediate Support | $2,250–$2,280 | Recent breakout level now acting as support; short-term EMA cluster | High |
| 🟢 Key Support | $2,100–$2,132 | March 13 base price; BlackRock ETHB ETF accumulation zone | High |
| 🔴 Major Support | $1,900–$2,000 | Multi-month structural floor; breakdown = altcoin season abort | Critical |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14-day) | 54.8 | Bullish | Above neutral 50 — momentum confirmed in bulls’ favour |
| Spot ETH ETF Flows | $72.4M net (24h) | Outperforming | ETH ETF inflows exceeded BTC on March 13 — institutional preference shift |
| Whale Accumulation | Parabolic (on-chain) | Strongly Bullish | Exchange reserves dropped 23% — reduces available selling pressure |
| 20-day EMA | Rising | Bullish | Price above rising 20-day EMA — trend is re-establishing upward slope |
| 200-day EMA | ~$2,800 | Bearish macro | Still below long-term average — full bull confirmation needs $2,800 reclaim |
| RWA Tokenization (ETH) | $15.26B (+1,150% YoY) | Structural | Fundamental value driver — ETH’s DeFi and settlement utility expanding |
| Standard Chartered View | Outperform | Bullish | TradFi capital flows seen as primary driver for ETH recovery |
ETH is the outperformer of this recovery cycle, posting the strongest 24-hour gain among the four major pairs at +8.4%. On the daily chart, Ethereum broke above a descending wedge pattern that had been compressing price for five weeks — a classically bullish breakout setup. The breakout candle itself was a Bullish Marubozu (full-bodied green candle, minimal wicks), signifying overwhelming buying conviction. The RSI crossed above 50 for the first time since January, a momentum shift confirmed by parabolic whale accumulation addresses. Medium-term, a potential inverse head-and-shoulders is forming on the 4-hour chart with the neckline at ~$2,350 — a close above this level would project a measured move to ~$2,600–$2,650. The ETH Foundation mandate news adds a mild fundamental uncertainty, but institutional capital tracked by Standard Chartered appears to be looking through that noise.
Setup Notes: ETH is the highest-beta institutional asset this cycle. A dovish FOMC could push ETH directly toward $2,600 (30% from current) — the most explosive reaction of the four pairs. Confirmation: watch for inverse H&S neckline break at $2,350 on volume. Bear invalidation: close below $2,160 aborts the setup.
XRP/USDT — Technical Analysis & Trade Setup
| Level Type | Price Zone | Significance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🔴 Major Resistance | $1.80–$1.90 | Prior swing high; CLARITY Act binary catalyst level; major sell zone | High |
| 🟠 Key Resistance | $1.615 | Structural cap near-term per CSFX research; weekly supply zone | High |
| ⚪ Immediate Resistance | $1.58–$1.60 | Current trading ceiling; breakout confirmation zone | Medium |
| 📍 Current Price | ~$1.57 | Coiling for directional break — compression pattern active | — |
| 🟢 Immediate Support | $1.50–$1.51 | March 17 base; breakout level now acting as support | High |
| 🟢 Key Support | $1.39–$1.40 | March 13 breakout level; bull trap invalidation line | High |
| 🔴 Major Support | $1.20–$1.25 | Multi-month structural floor; CLARITY Act fail scenario target | Critical |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14-day) | 55.4 | Bullish | Above neutral; momentum in favour of further gains pending FOMC |
| Channel Pattern | Coiling / Compression | Watch | XRP is coiling for a directional break — range tightening since $1.39 breakout |
| XRP ETF Flows | −$28M weekly | Headwind | Sustained ETF outflow reversal needed to confirm institutional demand |
| Regulatory Catalyst | CLARITY Act Advancing | Bullish Binary | Clearest CLARITY Act beneficiary; Senate movement = disproportionate XRP gain |
| XRP Ledger Ecosystem | Top gainer (24h) | Bullish | Ripple expanding custody + payments + brokerage in Brazil; emerging market tailwind |
| Broad Market Context | BTC Dominance 58.6% | Cautious | Altcoin season begins when BTC dominance falls below 57%; not yet triggered |
XRP staged what may be a meaningful technical breakout above $1.39 on March 13 and has held that level as new support — a bullish structural development if the hold confirms over multiple sessions. The daily chart is showing a Bullish Flag / Pennant formation — price consolidated in a tight range after the sharp $1.39 breakout move, with lower highs and higher lows compressing into a narrowing triangle. A breakout above $1.60 with volume confirmation would project a measured move to $1.90–$2.00. The critical risk: if XRP fails to hold $1.50 post-FOMC, the move reclassifies as a bull trap, and positions should be closed. XRP remains the most binary of the four pairs — its trajectory is heavily dependent on both FOMC macro direction and CLARITY Act legislative news. The RSI at 55.4 gives XRP room to run to $1.80 before entering overbought territory.
Setup Notes: XRP is the most leveraged to regulatory clarity news this week. CLARITY Act Senate movement = immediate spike to $1.80+ target. Position only after post-FOMC candle confirmation. Do not enter ahead of the decision. ETF outflow trend ($28M weekly) is a key risk — monitor Farside Investors data on March 19.
SOL/USDT — Technical Analysis & Trade Setup
| Level Type | Price Zone | Significance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🔴 Major Resistance | $109 | 100-day EMA; barrier for recovery rally extension | High |
| 🟠 Key Resistance | $94–$96 | 50-day EMA cluster; Fibonacci extension $96.74; current trading zone | High |
| ⚪ Immediate Resistance | $95.68–$97 | Current price zone; SIMD-0266 upgrade enthusiasm cap | Active |
| 📍 Current Price | ~$95.68 | Above 20-day and 50-day EMA — highest RSI of the four pairs at 57.2 | — |
| 🟢 Immediate Support | $90–$91 | Hourly resistance zone now acting as support; key breakout confirmation | High |
| 🟢 Key Support | $85–$86 | URPD psychological level; 20-day and 50-day EMA convergence; whale accumulation base | High |
| 🔴 Major Support | $76.70–$80 | Multi-test support floor; H&S measured target $59–$64 if this breaks | Critical |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14-day) | 57.2 — Highest of 4 pairs | Bullish | Most momentum of the four pairs; RSI first time above 50 since early 2026 |
| 10-day EMA vs 20-day EMA | Bullish crossover ✓ | Bullish | Short-term EMAs crossed bullishly — improving near-term momentum |
| 50-day EMA | ~$94 (acting as resistance) | Resistance | Key ceiling — close above confirms breakout; flip to support = strong bullish signal |
| 100-day EMA | ~$109 | Overhead | Long-term resistance; SOL must reclaim to confirm macro bull trend |
| SOL ETF Inflows (12+ days) | +$900M net | Strongly Bullish | 12+ consecutive inflow days — sustained institutional accumulation confirmed |
| SIMD-0266 Upgrade | Approved — Mainnet Q2 | Fundamental Bullish | P-tokens slash transaction costs; Alpenglow upgrade targeting <150ms finality |
| Whale Activity | $17M single purchase on-chain | Bullish | Confirmed large-wallet accumulation at current levels |
| Higher Lows Structure | From $78 → $85 → $90 → $95.68 | Bullish | Progressive higher lows confirm buyer control; cleanest recovery structure of the four |
Solana has the cleanest technical recovery structure of the four major pairs this session. Price has carved out a series of confirmed higher lows ($78 → $85 → $90 → $95.68) — the textbook prerequisite for a trend reversal. The 10-day EMA has crossed above the 20-day EMA (a bullish momentum crossover), and the RSI at 57.2 is the highest among the four pairs, leaving room for further upside before hitting overbought conditions. The daily chart shows a Rising Three Methods candlestick pattern — three small bodies within a prior green candle’s range, followed by a continuation green candle — a highly reliable bullish continuation signal in trending markets. The SIMD-0266 upgrade approval triggered a Gap Up on the chart with sustained buying through the session. The 3-day chart H&S bearish pattern (measured target ~$59) that was worrying analysts in March 13 is increasingly invalidated if SOL sustains above $90. The key test: can Solana flip the 50-day EMA ($94–$95) from resistance to support? That confirmation would open the $100 psychological target and beyond.
Setup Notes: SOL is our top-ranked recovery trade structurally. 12+ consecutive ETF inflow days, a whale accumulation confirmed on-chain, and the cleanest higher-low structure make this the most conviction long of the four. Stop at $84.40 (wave 3 invalidation per Elliott Wave analysis). SIMD-0266 mainnet (April) is a secondary catalyst for holding the position through volatility.
Risk Matrix — Bulls vs. Bears
Every trade has two sides. Here’s a structured breakdown of the catalysts that will move markets bullishly or bearishly in the next 24 hours. Know both sides before you click the button.
🟢 Bullish Catalysts (Next 24h)
- FOMC dot plot signals 2 rate cuts remaining in 2026 (vs. current 1-cut consensus)
- Powell explicitly mentions June as a rate-cut window
- BTC spot ETF inflows exceed $200M on March 19 (Farside data)
- UK CPI prints in-line or below forecast (2.9%)
- China Industrial Production beats 5.8% forecast
- CLARITY Act Senate vote scheduled or advanced
- Solana sustains close above $96 (50-day EMA flip)
- ETH close above $2,363 (inverse H&S neckline confirmation)
- Oil prices continue declining (reduces inflation risk perception)
🔴 Bearish Risks (Next 24h)
- Dot plot reduces cuts from 1 to 0 for 2026; oil-shock language dominates
- Powell signals rates need to stay higher to counter energy inflation
- BTC ETF outflows exceed $200M post-FOMC (institutional de-risking)
- UK Core CPI beats forecast (3.7%+) — global tightening concern
- China Industrial Production misses significantly — risk-off in Asia session
- BTC fails to hold $73,000 post-FOMC (50-day SMA breaks)
- XRP $1.50 support fails (bull trap reclassification)
- SOL breaks below $84.40 (wave 3 downside target $59–$64)
- USD strengthens sharply (DXY above key level = headwind for BTC)
| Asset | Overall Bias (24h) | Key Risk Level | Key Catalyst Level | Conviction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USDT | Cautiously Bullish | $71,500 | $76,500 breakout | Medium |
| ETH/USDT | Bullish — Outperformer | $2,160 | $2,363 neckline break | High |
| XRP/USDT | Breakout Watch | $1.42 | $1.615 breakout → $1.80 | Medium-High |
| SOL/USDT | Bullish — Best Structure | $84.40 | $96 flip → $100+ | High |
Frequently Asked Questions
Conclusion
Today Is Not Just Another Trading Day
March 18, 2026 lands at one of those rare intersections where multiple market-moving forces converge in a single session. The crypto market has staged a genuine recovery — Bitcoin up 8.96% on the week, Ethereum printing its strongest day in months, Solana showing the cleanest technical recovery structure of the major pairs, and XRP coiling for a regulatory-catalyst-driven move. Beneath this recovery: $1.3 billion in March ETF inflows, Strategy’s largest-ever BTC accumulation, whale buying confirmed across all four pairs, and the Fear & Greed Index moving off deeply oversold levels.
And yet, all of this is prologue. The FOMC decision at 14:00 ET — and more specifically, the dot plot and Powell’s press conference language — will set the directional tone for crypto markets through the end of Q1 and likely into Q2 2026. A dovish signal confirming two cuts in 2026 would be the most bullish single macro event for this asset class since the Fed’s September 2025 pivot. A hawkish surprise citing oil-driven inflation risk would cause a short, sharp correction — but the structural bid from ETF inflows and institutional accumulation suggests any pullback to key support levels would be bought aggressively.
The four pairs covered in this report offer differentiated opportunity: ETH for the highest-beta institutional momentum play; SOL for the cleanest technical recovery structure and best fundamental pipeline; BTC for the most liquid, lowest-volatility accumulation; and XRP for the highest binary upside optionality tied to regulatory clarity. As always, position sizing, defined stops, and a plan for each FOMC scenario are the non-negotiables for navigating today with discipline.
The market is not broken. It is waiting. Today, we find out what it was waiting for.