Gold Rebounds Toward $3,340 as Softer Dollar and Fed Uncertainty Support Prices

Gold (XAU/USD) is staging a strong rebound on Wednesday, climbing to $3,340 in early U.S. trading after briefly touching a three-week low of $3,311 in the Asian session. The bounce comes as the US Dollar retreats from recent highs, while traders await the release of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes for further policy guidance.

Dollar Pullback and Fed Minutes in Focus

After Tuesday’s sharp sell-off, gold is benefiting from a softer US Dollar Index (DXY), which has eased from recent peaks. Attention now turns to the FOMC minutes, which could shed light on internal divisions at the Fed. July’s policy meeting revealed unusual dissent, with two Fed governors favoring a 25 bps rate cut instead of keeping rates steady.

For traders, the release will be pivotal in shaping expectations around the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory. A dovish tilt could reinforce gold’s upside momentum, while hawkish signals may cap gains.

Geopolitical Backdrop: Russia–Ukraine Conflict Still in Play

Market sentiment improved after a White House meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and European leaders signaled renewed diplomatic engagement. Trump hinted at the possibility of a trilateral summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Zelenskyy. However, the Kremlin emphasized that such talks would require gradual preparation and that no timeline has been set.

While optimism has eased immediate safe-haven demand, lingering geopolitical uncertainty continues to provide gold with a safety net, keeping downside moves contained.

Technical Outlook for XAU/USD

• Resistance: $3,330 – $3,350 remains the near-term ceiling.
• Support: $3,311 (recent low), followed by $3,290 as the next key downside level.
• Trend Bias: Range-bound in the short term, with upside momentum likely capped until the FOMC minutes provide clearer direction.

Key Takeaways for Traders

• Gold price forecast (XAU/USD): Rebounds to $3,340 after three-week lows.
• US Dollar weakness provides immediate support ahead of FOMC minutes.
• Fed policy divisions could set the tone for gold’s next directional move.
• Geopolitical risks from Russia–Ukraine talks still underpin safe-haven appeal.
• Short-term outlook favors range-bound trading, with resistance around $3,330.