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XRP (XRPUSD) Today: Bulls Defend 1.2984 as the Fed Decision Looms

October 28, 2026
CSFX ResearchDesk
XRP (XRPUSD) Today: Bulls Defend 1.2984 as the Fed Decision Looms
XRP today, 28 OctXRP 1.3249 −0.36%Trade ticket

Market in Focus | XRP (XRPUSD) | Wednesday 28 October 2026

XRP (XRPUSD) Today: Bulls Defend 1.2984 as the Fed Decision Looms

1.3249 −0.0048 (−0.36%) Open 1.3294 · High 1.3426 · Low 1.3237 Daily chart · RSI 45.07 · Captured 07:13 GMT

Desk bias, next 24 hours Bullish Holds while price stays above 1.2984

Market Overview

XRP today sits at 1.3249, down 0.36%, with the rising triangle floor and slow average at 1.2984 holding the entire structure together. The Federal Reserve (Fed) decision at 18:00 GMT collides with Ripple's new federal trust charter. Bulls keep control above 1.2984; a long from 1.2990–1.3050 targets 1.3319 first, and a break of 1.2880 voids the setup.

Key highlights

  • Bias: Bullish above 1.2984; neutral inside the triangle.
  • Levels: Support 1.2984 and 1.2780; resistance 1.3319 and 1.3426.
  • Event risk: Rate decision 18:00 GMT, press conference 18:30 GMT.

XRP Trade Ticket for the Next 24 Hours

XRP

LongMedium conviction

Valid until 07:00 GMT Thu 29 Oct

Entry zone
1.2990–1.3050
Average 1.3020
Stop loss
1.2880
−140 points
Take profit 1
1.3319
+299 points
Take profit 2
1.3426
+406 points
Take profit 3
1.3993
+973 points

Average entry 1.3020. Risk 140 points. Reward:risk 2.1 to TP1, 2.9 to TP2, 7.0 to TP3.

Why this trade: Long from the triangle floor and slow average at 1.2984, backed by Ripple's charter and BNY custody.

Cancel if: A daily close under 1.2880, or a hawkish Fed surprise at 18:00 GMT.

Position risk: The stop risks about 1.1% of the average entry. Cancel if unfilled by 17:30 GMT Wed 28 Oct.

Conditional levels, not investment advice.

XRP Price Ladder: Every Level That Matters Today

Distance from 1.3249, in points (1 point = 0.0001)
PriceLevelWhat it isDistance
1.3993Resistance 3, TP3Medium average+744 points
1.3426Resistance 2, TP2Today's high+177 points
1.3319Resistance 1, TP1Fast average+70 points
1.3249Price nowCaptured 07:13 GMT0 points
1.2990–1.3050Entry zoneAverage 1.3020−259 to −199 points
1.2984Support 1Slow average, triangle floor−265 points
1.2880Stop lossBeyond Support 1−369 points
1.2780Support 2Late-October swing low−469 points
1.2520Support 3Double-top neckline−729 points

XRP Technical Summary: Triangle Floor Tested Near 1.2984

XRP/USD daily chart showing a symmetrical triangle, with price at 1.3249 near the rising floor at 1.2984, below the 1.3319 fast average and 1.3993 medium average.
XRP daily chart, 07:13 GMT, 28 Oct 2026. Price tests the triangle floor. TradingView chart with desk markings.
Trend
Price coils inside a triangle, resting on its rising floor at 1.2984.
Averages
Below 1.3319 and 1.3993; above the slow average at 1.2984.
Momentum
RSI 45.07, above its 40.32 average but under the 50 midline.

Bull vs Bear Signal Board for XRP

Desk scores for the next 24 hours
SignalReadingLean
TrendTriangle floor 1.2984 under testNeutral
Moving averagesBelow 1.3319, above 1.2984Neutral
MomentumRSI 45.07 over 40.32 averageNeutral
US rate pathPolicy rate 3.75%–4.00%, CPI 3.7%Bearish
Ripple trust charterFinal federal approval on 26 OctBullish
Institutional custodyBNY adds XRP and RLUSDBullish

Net score: 2 bullish, 3 neutral, 1 bearish

Next 24 Hours on the GMT Clock

  1. Wed 28 Oct

    US equity market opens Low

    Risk appetite test for the 1.3319 fast average

  2. Wed 28 Oct

    US rate decision; hold priced near 91% High

    Hawkish surprise exposes 1.2984; a hold favours 1.3319

  3. Wed 28 Oct

    Chair Kevin Warsh press conference High

    Guidance steers price toward 1.3426 or 1.2780

  4. Thu 29 Oct

    Daily candle closes Medium

    Settling beyond 1.2984 or 1.3319 sets Thursday's tone

If-Then Playbook for XRP

If price pulls back into 1.2990–1.3050

Then go long; targets 1.3319, 1.3426, 1.3993

If price reaches 1.3319 without filling the entry

Then wait for a retest of 1.3050 or 1.2984

If a 4-hour candle closes above 1.3426

Then hold for the extension toward 1.3993

If the daily candle settles beneath 1.2880

Then drop the idea; next support 1.2780

Catalyst Wire: Fundamental News for XRP

  1. Critical Two-way risk

    US rate decision due 18:00 GMT with a hold priced near 91%

    CME data shows 90.6% hold odds and 9.4% hike odds; the policy rate sits at 3.75%–4.00%.

    Source: CoinGabbar, Coinpedia, 27 Oct 2026

  2. High Lifts XRP

    Ripple wins final federal trust bank approval

    The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) completed a process begun in December 2025, widening custody and RLUSD reserve management.

    Source: Yahoo Finance, 27 Oct 2026

  3. High Two-way risk

    Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) adds XRP custody as outflows persist

    The service covers XRP and RLUSD for eligible institutions; US XRP funds shed 2.70M XRP on 26 Oct.

    Source: Boerse-Global, XRP Insights, 27 Oct 2026

Conclusion

Desk verdict Long 1.2990–1.3050; stop below 1.2880

We favour the long from 1.2990–1.3050, aiming for 1.3319 first. Settling beneath 1.2880 cancels it, while a four-hour close above 1.3426 extends the move toward 1.3993. The main risk is the 18:00 GMT rate decision, where a hawkish tone could push price through 1.2984.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the XRP outlook for the next 24 hours?

Bullish while price holds above 1.2984, with 1.3319 and 1.3426 as first targets and 1.3993 beyond.

What is the XRP trade setup today?

A pullback long in the 1.2990–1.3050 band, risking 140 points for 299 to the first target.

Why does the Fed decision matter for XRP?

A hold is priced at 90.6%; a hawkish tone could lift yields and push XRP through 1.2984.

What time is the Fed decision today in GMT?

The decision lands at 18:00 GMT (14:00 US Eastern), followed by the Warsh press conference at 18:30 GMT.

Capital Street Research Desk

The Capital Street FX research team publishes daily and weekly analysis across forex, commodities, indices and crypto, focused on the levels and events that matter to active traders.

Price, moving averages and RSI are read from the TradingView daily chart captured at 07:13 GMT on 28 Oct 2026; levels marked on the chart are the desk's own. Point distances are measured from 1.3249, where 1 point equals 0.0001. Signals are scored by the desk. News from Yahoo Finance, CoinGabbar, Coinpedia, Crypto Times, Boerse-Global and XRP Insights. All times are GMT. Prices move quickly; confirm every level on your own platform before trading.

This report is for information and education only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading forex, commodities, indices and crypto on margin carries a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Levels and trade setups are conditional technical references, not recommendations. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.