Federal Reserve Meeting Boosts Dow Futures
19 Sep 2023
In advance of the crucial Fed meeting, the Dow futures advance
In the lead-up to the highly anticipated two-day Federal Reserve policy meeting, U.S. stock futures experienced a modest uptick on Tuesday. The Dow Futures contract rose by 50 points, or 0.2%, signaling cautious optimism in the financial markets.
As the day unfolds, the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to convene its latest meeting. Market expectations are centered on the likelihood that the Fed will maintain interest rates within the range of 5.25% to 5.50%. However, the central bank’s outlook for the coming year remains somewhat uncertain.
One source of this uncertainty stems from recent economic developments. Core prices, for instance, saw their slowest rate of decline in nearly two years last week. In contrast, headline consumer prices experienced their most substantial increase in 14 months. These disparate trends have contributed to a sense of ambiguity in the economic landscape.
Wednesday’s news conference, led by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, holds the potential for shedding more light on the Fed’s outlook for the coming months. Powell may provide additional insights into the central bank’s strategies and concerns, offering valuable context for investors and economists alike.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve will unveil its latest economic forecasts. Of particular interest will be the year-end inflation forecast, as it could offer clues about the decisions that will likely be made during the policy meetings scheduled for November and December.
DOW JONES TECHNICAL ANALYSIS DAILY CHART
Turning our attention to technical analysis, the Dow Jones index is currently trading within an upward channel. This suggests a prevailing positive sentiment in the market.
Furthermore, the Dow Jones index is positioned above both the 5-day and 20-day Moving Averages (SMA). This reinforces the notion of a bullish trend, as these moving averages serve as key indicators of market momentum.
When considering oscillators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that the market is in the buying zone. This is often interpreted as a sign of upward momentum. However, the Stochastic oscillator suggests a neutral trend, implying that market participants should exercise caution and not take the bullish sentiment for granted.
Key Levels to Watch
- Immediate Resistance level: 35,022.79
- Immediate support level: 34,690.09
HOW TO TRADE DOW JONES
After experiencing a sharp increase, the Dow Jones price retraced slightly before staging another brief ascent. Currently, the price finds itself hovering around a significant resistance area. Breaking through this resistance could pave the way for further gains.
For traders considering their options, a “STOP BUY” order at 35,147.55 could be a strategic entry point. In this scenario, traders should aim to “TAKE PROFIT” at 35,449.05 while setting a stop loss (“SL”) at 34,970.80. This strategy allows traders to capitalize on potential upward movement while also managing risk effectively.
The anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting has injected a degree of uncertainty into the financial markets. As the Fed deliberates on interest rates and unveils its economic forecasts, investors and analysts will closely monitor the outcomes for insights into the central bank’s strategy for the coming months. The technical analysis of the Dow Jones index also suggests a bullish sentiment, but traders are advised to exercise caution and use appropriate risk management strategies in these dynamic market conditions.