STOXX 600 Holds Near Records as EasyJet Soars 10% on Takeover Bid, Euro Firms Post-Payrolls, Bunds Hold Near 2.90% and Ether Extends Its Surge | European Session – Technical Analysis | 6 July 2026
European Stocks Hold Near Record Highs as EasyJet Soars 10% on a Fifth Takeover Approach While the Euro Firms Post-Payrolls, Bunds Hold Near 2.90% After a Dovish Sintra, and Ether Extends Its Weekly Surge Toward $1,755.
European equities hold just below record highs on Monday as a wave of UK takeover activity headlined by easyJet’s 10% surge and the ITV-Sky deal dominates the tape, the Euro and Sterling firm on a softer US Dollar following Friday’s weak payrolls print, German Bund yields hold near two-week lows after a dovish ECB Sintra Forum, and Ethereum extends its best week in months — all with the Labour leadership contest and the NATO summit in Turkey shaping the backdrop this week.
Friday’s US jobs report continues to anchor sentiment into the new week. June non-farm payrolls rose by just 57,000 against a 115,000 consensus, and while the unemployment rate unexpectedly eased to 4.2%, markets have read the combination as a labour-market cooling that keeps the Federal Reserve on hold rather than signalling a genuine downturn. Fed funds futures now imply roughly a 45–53% probability of a rate hike by September, down sharply from 65–67% before the report, and the resulting softer US Dollar is providing a tailwind across G10 currencies, commodities and risk assets into Monday’s European session. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent remarks that inflation expectations are moderating, while reaffirming the central bank’s commitment to price stability, have reinforced the more measured tone.
In equities, the pan-European STOXX 600 is holding just below its intraday record of 652.35 after closing last week 0.7% higher and logging its sharpest weekly jump since mid-May, while Germany’s DAX opened Monday near its all-time-high weekly close of 25,779, a level Deutsche Börse’s own commentary flagged as the highest weekly close in the index’s history. The session’s dominant theme is UK dealmaking: budget airline easyJet has surged more than 10% in FTSE 250 trade after agreeing in principle to a fifth takeover approach from US investment firm Castlelake, while broadcaster ITV has confirmed the sale of its media and entertainment unit to Sky for up to £1.6 billion. The FTSE 100 itself is up roughly 0.4% near 10,678.3, supported by gains in RELX, BAE Systems, Babcock, GSK, IAG and Unilever, and is on track for its best closing level in four months, even as precious-metals miners Fresnillo and Endeavour lag. Attention this week also turns to the NATO summit in Turkey on 7–8 July, where the UK’s long-awaited defence investment plan is expected to be published, and to the UK Labour leadership contest, with nominations to succeed Keir Starmer opening on 9 July and Greater Manchester’s Andy Burnham the clear frontrunner.
In FX, EUR/USD is holding around 1.1437, having recovered from recent multi-month lows as post-payrolls Dollar weakness offsets a still-hawkish residual Fed risk, while GBP/USD trades near 1.3336, extending its bounce off last week’s 1.3141 low even as the unresolved Labour leadership contest keeps a lid on Sterling conviction. In fixed income, Germany’s 10-year Bund yield is holding just above 2.90% after ECB President Christine Lagarde told the central bank’s Sintra Forum that risks to euro-area inflation and growth had become more balanced, a shift in tone from the ECB’s rate hike three weeks earlier; June eurozone inflation undershot expectations at 2.8% headline and 2.4% core, and money markets now see a second ECB hike this year as more likely than not but far from certain, with the next decision due 23 July. In commodities, Silver has eased back to $61.93 an ounce after touching its best level since 23 June above $63 on Friday, still on track for a second consecutive weekly gain as reduced Fed hike odds reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding metals, while Natural Gas is easing for a second session toward $3.22 per MMBtu as ample US storage, running roughly 6% above the five-year average, and a milder mid-July weather outlook cap prices. In crypto, Ethereum is extending a weekly surge of over 11% to trade near $1,755, consolidating just below $1,800 resistance on the back of the newly launched Ethereum Institutional initiative, while Solana has slipped to $78.71, directly testing the closely watched pivot support at $78.65, as MoneyGram’s validator partnership and steady network growth offset a still-bearish longer-term chart pattern.
European Session Headlines
The stories driving price action across equities, FX, rates, metals, energy and crypto this session
European Session Economic Calendar — 6 July 2026
Key releases and events shaping price action across today’s European session
| Time (Local) | Event | Actual / Detail | Impact | Market Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧Ongoing | EasyJet Surges >10% on Fifth Castlelake Takeover Approach | Private-equity firm Castlelake tables improved take-private offer, agreed in principle | 🔴 CRITICAL | Leads a broad UK M&A wave lifting FTSE 250 and FTSE 100 sentiment |
| 🇬🇧Ongoing | ITV Confirms Media Arm Sale to Sky for Up to £1.6bn | Deal covers ITV Studios’ entertainment and media production unit | 🔴 CRITICAL | Reinforces UK equities’ dealmaking-driven advance |
| 🇪🇺08:00 BST | STOXX 600 / DAX Open Near Record Levels | STOXX 600 near 654, DAX near Friday’s all-time-high 25,779 weekly close | 🔴 CRITICAL | Rally broadens beyond tech into cyclicals and banks |
| 🇪🇺Ongoing | ECB Sintra Forum Follow-Through | Lagarde: risks to inflation and growth “more balanced” than a few weeks ago | 🔴 CRITICAL | Caps Bund yields and tempers second-hike conviction for 23 July |
| 🇺🇸Carryover | Weak June US Non-Farm Payrolls (Fri) | +57,000 vs. +115,000 consensus; unemployment rate eased to 4.2% | 🔴 CRITICAL | Continues to weigh on USD, supporting EUR, GBP and metals |
| 🇬🇧9 Jul | UK Labour Leadership Nominations Open | Andy Burnham the sole declared frontrunner to succeed Keir Starmer | 🟢 MED | Political overhang keeps a lid on Sterling conviction |
| 🇹🇷7–8 Jul | NATO Summit, Turkey | UK defence investment plan expected to be published ahead of summit | 🟢 MED | Watch for defence-sector equity flows across Europe |
European Session Trade Ideas — 6 July 2026
Eight structured setups — EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Silver, Natural Gas, FTSE 100, EU 10Y, Ethereum, Solana — with updated prices, levels, and full fundamental and technical analysis
EUR/USD
Fundamental Backdrop
EUR/USD is holding around 1.1437 in the European session, having recovered from a recent multi-month low near 1.1400 as Friday’s weak US payrolls report, June non-farm payrolls of just 57,000 against a 115,000 consensus, continues to weigh on the Dollar. Fed funds futures now imply only a 45–53% probability of a September hike, down from 65–67% before the report. On the euro side, the ECB’s dovish Sintra Forum commentary, with President Lagarde framing inflation and growth risks as more balanced, has capped rather than boosted the single currency, since it reduces conviction behind a second ECB hike this year. The net effect leaves EUR/USD driven primarily by the Dollar side of the equation into this week’s 23 July ECB decision.
Technical Outlook
EUR/USD remains in a broad 1.1400–1.1560 range that has held for much of the past two weeks, with the pair currently consolidating in the middle of that band. Resistance: 1.1560 (this range’s upper boundary and the 38.2% retracement of the broader 2026 pullback) and 1.1600 (stop-extension level). Support: 1.1400 (the range floor and a level that has already absorbed multiple tests) and 1.1350 (the June 19 intraday low area). A confirmed break below 1.1400 on a weekly closing basis would open a deeper move toward 1.13, while a clean break above 1.1560 would target a retest of 1.1670, the 200-day moving average.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any follow-through commentary from ECB officials after the Sintra Forum; (2) the pace of pricing into the 23 July ECB and 29 July Fed decisions; (3) US Dollar Index direction as the broader post-payrolls narrative develops; (4) any fresh US-Iran Doha talks headlines given the pair’s recent sensitivity to oil-driven risk sentiment; (5) thin midsummer liquidity potentially amplifying intraday swings.
GBP/USD
Fundamental Backdrop
GBP/USD is trading near 1.3336, extending its recovery from last week’s low around 1.3141 as the broadly softer US Dollar following Friday’s weak payrolls report lifts Sterling alongside its G10 peers. The Bank of England held its Bank Rate at 3.75% on 18 June in a 7–2 vote, with its next decision due 30 July, leaving relative central-bank policy a secondary driver for now compared with the Dollar side. The more significant domestic overhang is the Labour leadership contest: Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation on 22 June has set up Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner, with nominations opening 9 July and closing 16 July; Burnham could become prime minister within two weeks if unchallenged. That political transition, alongside the UK’s defence investment plan expected around the NATO summit, is keeping a lid on Sterling’s conviction even as the Dollar backdrop turns more supportive.
Technical Outlook
Cable has recovered from a corrective phase after falling sharply through the second half of June, moving away from the 1.3141 low back toward the middle Bollinger Band, with narrowing bands pointing to lower near-term volatility. Resistance: 1.3376 (last week’s high) and 1.3450 (stop-extension, near the 1.33 area sellers have previously defended). Support: 1.3277 (near-term pivot) and 1.3210 (this trade’s stop, below which the June downtrend risks resuming). A confirmed close above 1.3376 would suggest the corrective bounce is turning into a more durable reversal, while failure to hold 1.3210 would reopen the path toward the 1.3141 low.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any early jockeying or rival nominations ahead of the 9 July Labour leadership window opening; (2) the UK’s defence investment plan publication around the 7–8 July NATO summit; (3) broader US Dollar direction following Friday’s payrolls miss; (4) any UK data surprises ahead of the 30 July Bank of England decision; (5) spillover from today’s UK equity M&A wave into broader Sterling risk sentiment.
Silver
Fundamental Backdrop
Silver is trading near $61.93 an ounce, pulling back from Friday’s peak of roughly $63.30, its highest level since 23 June, but still on track for a second consecutive weekly gain. The metal’s broader rally has been driven almost entirely by Friday’s weak June US jobs report, which pushed the CME FedWatch-implied probability of a September Fed hike down to roughly 50% from around 66–67% before the data, and today’s pullback looks more like profit-taking after that sharp move than a reversal of the underlying driver. Lower rate-hike odds continue to reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding precious metals, and the broadly softer US Dollar, on track for its biggest weekly drop since April, remains a supportive backdrop. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments that inflation expectations are moderating, alongside continued normalization of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz amid constructive US-Iran talks, have added further support by easing broader inflation-risk premia.
Technical Outlook
Silver has staged a sharp recovery from a recent seven-month low, rallying from the high-$50s to a peak above $63 before easing back to $61.93 in the space of roughly a week. Resistance: $63.90 (a prior correction-low level that now caps the advance) and $65.50 (this trade’s target, near the next Fibonacci extension). Support: $61.50 (this trade’s preferred dip-buy level, near the 38.2% retracement of the recent rally, and now just below spot) and $59.50 (this trade’s stop, below which the rebound would be in question). With price already close to the $61.50 entry zone, the setup is nearing trigger; the gold-to-silver ratio remains above its 50-year historical average, suggesting room for silver to continue outperforming gold if the current Fed-driven tailwind persists.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any further repricing of September Fed hike odds following Friday’s payrolls miss; (2) broader US Dollar Index direction; (3) US-Iran Doha talks developments given silver’s recent sensitivity to geopolitical risk premia; (4) industrial demand signals from electronics and solar sectors; (5) thinner midsummer liquidity potentially amplifying intraday volatility.
Natural Gas
Fundamental Backdrop
US Natural Gas futures are easing to around $3.22 per MMBtu, down roughly 0.8% on the session and extending a mild pullback after touching multi-week highs late last month. The move is driven by robust domestic supply: energy firms injected a larger-than-expected volume of gas into storage in late June, keeping total stockpiles roughly 6% above their five-year average, while June production across the Lower 48 states averaged close to 110 billion cubic feet per day, near record levels. Meteorologists now expect warmer-than-normal but less extreme temperatures through mid-July compared with the recent heatwave, easing some of the power-burn demand that had supported prices. Average flows to major US LNG export terminals remain robust near 17.3 billion cubic feet per day, providing a partial offset to the bearish domestic supply picture.
Technical Outlook
Natural Gas is consolidating after a choppy few weeks that saw prices swing between roughly $3.20 and $3.30 as traders weighed heatwave-driven demand against ample supply. Resistance: $3.35 (this trade’s preferred sell-rally level, near recent swing highs) and $3.50 (this trade’s stop, above which the demand narrative would need to reassert itself). Support: $3.10 (near-term technical support) and $3.00 (this trade’s target, a psychological level last tested in late June). A decisive break below $3.00 would confirm the supply glut is dominating price action, while a break above $3.50 would suggest renewed weather-driven demand is overwhelming the storage surplus.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) Thursday’s weekly EIA storage report and any surprise in injection volumes; (2) updated weather models for mid-to-late July heat; (3) LNG export terminal flow data, particularly around Golden Pass ramp-up; (4) Lower 48 production trends; (5) any read-through from softer oil prices given the two commodities’ loose correlation.
FTSE 100
Fundamental Backdrop
The FTSE 100 is trading near 10,678.3, up roughly 0.4% intraday and within striking distance of Friday’s four-month closing high of 10,679, supported by a wave of corporate dealmaking that has become the session’s dominant theme. EasyJet shares have surged more than 10% in FTSE 250 trade on a fifth take-private approach from US investment firm Castlelake, while ITV has confirmed the sale of its media and entertainment unit to Sky for up to £1.6 billion, both reinforcing appetite for UK equities. Within the blue-chip index, industrial and aerospace names are leading gains, with RELX, BAE Systems and submarine contractor Babcock all firmer, alongside GSK, IAG and Unilever, while precious-metals miners Fresnillo and Endeavour and consumer staple Associated British Foods lag. The broader macro backdrop of a softer US Dollar following Friday’s weak payrolls report is also supportive, as a weaker Sterling-adjusted Dollar benefits the index’s large share of overseas earners.
Technical Outlook
The FTSE 100 has been in a steady uptrend since late June, moving from the 10,600 area to test 10,701 in today’s session, its highest print in four months. Resistance: 10,701 (today’s high) and 10,850 (this trade’s target, the next round-number extension). Support: 10,630 (this trade’s preferred dip-buy level, near today’s opening price of 10,652.81) and 10,560 (this trade’s stop, below which the M&A-driven advance would be in question). A decisive close above 10,701 would open the way toward the index’s 52-week high near 10,934.94 set earlier in the year.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any formal confirmation or terms detail on the easyJet-Castlelake and ITV-Sky deals; (2) further UK M&A headlines given the current wave of dealmaking; (3) broader Dollar and Sterling direction; (4) any read-through from the UK Labour leadership contest on domestic risk sentiment; (5) the NATO summit’s defence-spending implications for FTSE-listed defence names such as BAE Systems and Babcock.
EU 10Y (German Bund Yield)
Fundamental Backdrop
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield is holding just above 2.90%, near a two-week low and well below the multi-year peaks touched in May, as investors weigh a more dovish tone from the European Central Bank against still-elevated headline eurozone inflation. At the ECB’s Sintra Forum last week, President Christine Lagarde said risks to euro-area inflation and growth had become more balanced, a notable shift from the central bank’s stance three weeks earlier when it raised its deposit rate to 2.25%, its first hike since 2023, citing inflation risks stemming from the Iran conflict. June eurozone inflation data undershot expectations, with headline inflation easing to 2.8% and core inflation slowing to 2.4%, reinforcing the case for a pause. Money markets still view a second ECB hike this year as more likely than not, but conviction has clearly softened, with the next decision due 23 July.
Technical Outlook
Bund yields have been drifting lower since their May peak, and the recent Sintra commentary has reinforced that gentle downtrend, with yields consolidating just above 2.90% after briefly testing 2.95% on stronger US Treasury correlation earlier last week. Resistance (on yield): 2.98% (this trade’s preferred sell-rally level, a recent two-week high) and 3.06% (this trade’s stop, above which the disinflation narrative would be in question). Support (on yield, i.e. higher Bund prices): 2.85% (near-term support) and 2.78% (this trade’s target, aligning with the lower end of the post-hike consolidation range). A sustained move below 2.78% in yield would confirm the market is pricing a more dovish ECB path into the 23 July decision.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any further ECB speaker commentary following the Sintra Forum; (2) the 23 July ECB rate decision and accompanying guidance; (3) US Treasury yield direction given the two markets’ recent correlation; (4) further eurozone inflation and growth data ahead of the meeting; (5) any spillover from the German government’s tax, labour and pension reform package on longer-dated yield expectations.
Ethereum
Fundamental Backdrop
Ethereum is trading near $1,755, up over 11% over the past week and consolidating just below the $1,800 resistance level after one of its strongest weekly performances in months. The rally has coincided with several institutional developments: Ethereum Institutional launched on 1 July as an independent non-profit designed to serve as a neutral point of contact between banks, asset managers and the Ethereum ecosystem, while the Ethereum Foundation released a government-focused adoption guide the same day targeting tokenization and digital identity use cases. Ondo Finance’s tokenization of BlackRock’s S&P 500 ETF and Micron stock directly on Ethereum on 3 July further reinforced the network’s institutional narrative, even as the Foundation’s decision to cut 54 positions and reduce its 2026 budget by 40% has introduced some mixed signals around long-term development capacity.
Technical Outlook
Ethereum has broken decisively above its 20-day EMA near $1,708 and is now testing resistance just under $1,800, having reversed sharply from a multi-month low near $1,510 in recent weeks. Resistance: $1,800 (near-term psychological level) and $1,900 (this trade’s target, above the 50-day EMA near $1,865). Support: $1,710 (this trade’s preferred dip-buy level, the reclaimed 20-day EMA) and $1,650 (this trade’s stop, below which the current breakout would be in question). A confirmed close above $1,800 would open the way toward a retest of the 100-day EMA near $2,037.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) further institutional tokenization announcements following the Ondo Finance-BlackRock deal; (2) any additional detail on Ethereum Institutional’s roadmap; (3) broader crypto market direction given Bitcoin’s continued hold in the low $60,000s; (4) US Dollar Index weakness as a supportive backdrop for risk assets; (5) Ethereum Foundation communications regarding its reduced 2026 budget and development priorities.
Solana
Fundamental Backdrop
Solana has slipped to $78.71, giving back its earlier cushion above the $80 handle and now directly testing the closely watched $78.65 pivot support, even after last week’s 14% gain, which itself came alongside a roughly 29% drop in trading volume, hinting at somewhat fragile underlying momentum. With spot now just six cents above the pivot and barely above the $78.50 preferred buy-dip level, the setup is essentially already at its entry zone, putting the pivot’s durability squarely in focus. On the fundamental side, Solana’s daily transaction count has more than doubled since the start of the year, driven by memecoin trading, DeFi volume and bot activity, while remittance firm MoneyGram joined the network as a validator and infrastructure partner in late June, a move that could accelerate stablecoin-powered remittance flows. Solana has also signed an MOU with Kazakhstan to support a $6 billion “crypto megacity” project, expanding its global institutional footprint, while its Alpenglow consensus upgrade, targeting transaction finality of roughly 150 milliseconds, remains on track for a mainnet deployment later in 2026.
Technical Outlook
Solana’s daily chart still carries the shadow of a head-and-shoulders pattern, with a close beneath the neckline near $75.62 capable of confirming a bearish breakdown, and the slide back to $78.71 has erased the token’s recent reclaim of the $80 handle, putting buyers on the defensive right at the pivot rather than comfortably above it. Resistance: $82.49 (a key level widely watched as validation of the current bullish ETF-flow narrative) and $85.00 (this trade’s target, near the next resistance band). Support: $78.65 (near-term pivot support, now essentially at spot) and $75.50 (this trade’s stop, just below the head-and-shoulders neckline). A daily close below $78.65 would raise the odds of a deeper slide toward the $75.62 neckline, while a daily close above $82.49 would support the bullish institutional narrative and ease the near-term technical pressure.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any follow-through on Solana ETF-linked institutional flows; (2) further validator or infrastructure partnership announcements following the MoneyGram deal; (3) progress updates on the Alpenglow consensus upgrade; (4) broader crypto market direction given Ethereum’s strong recent outperformance; (5) on-chain volume trends given last week’s gain came on notably lighter trading activity.
European Session FAQ
Answers to the questions traders are asking about today’s session
European Session Summary — Monday, 6 July 2026
Monday’s European session extends the risk-on tone that began with Friday’s weak US payrolls report, in which June non-farm payrolls rose by just 57,000 against a 115,000 consensus, pushing Fed funds futures to imply only a 45–53% probability of a September rate hike, down from 65–67% before the data. The pan-European STOXX 600 is holding near its record high after last week’s strongest weekly gain since mid-May, while Germany’s DAX opened near its all-time-high weekly close of 25,779. UK equities are the session’s clear standout, with easyJet surging more than 10% on a fifth take-private approach from Castlelake and ITV confirming the sale of its media arm to Sky for up to £1.6 billion, helping lift the FTSE 100 to a four-month high near 10,678.3. In FX, EUR/USD is holding near 1.1437 and GBP/USD near 1.3336, both benefiting from the broadly softer Dollar, though Sterling’s advance is being tempered by the unresolved Labour leadership contest, with nominations to succeed Keir Starmer opening 9 July and Andy Burnham the clear frontrunner. In rates, Germany’s 10-year Bund yield is holding near 2.90% after ECB President Christine Lagarde struck a more balanced tone on inflation and growth risks at last week’s Sintra Forum. Silver has eased back to $61.93 after touching a multi-week high above $63 on Friday, with reduced Fed hike odds still providing a broader tailwind, while Natural Gas eases toward $3.22 on ample US storage. In crypto, Ethereum is extending a weekly surge of over 11% to trade near $1,755 on a run of institutional adoption news, while Solana has slipped to $78.71, directly testing key pivot support, as network growth offsets a still-unresolved bearish chart pattern. Highest-conviction macro: buy FTSE 100 dips toward 10,630, stop 10,560, target 10,850 — the current UK M&A wave provides a genuine, idiosyncratic catalyst layered on top of a supportive soft-Dollar macro backdrop, making this a high-conviction setup, though a sizable stop is still warranted given two-sided event risk from the Labour leadership contest and NATO summit this week.
For the individual instruments: EUR/USD buy dips toward 1.1400, stop 1.1340, target 1.1560 — post-payrolls Dollar weakness is the dominant near-term driver, though a dovish ECB Sintra tone caps the scope of any sustained euro advance. GBP/USD buy dips toward 1.3280, stop 1.3210, target 1.3450 — the softer Dollar backdrop is genuinely supportive, though the unresolved Labour leadership contest argues for a disciplined stop given the potential for a domestic political surprise. Silver buy dips toward $61.50, stop $59.50, target $65.50 — reduced Fed hike odds provide a clear tailwind, though the metal’s sharp two-week rally argues for a measured position size given how quickly sentiment shifted from a seven-month low. Natural Gas sell rallies toward $3.35, stop $3.50, target $3.00 — the ample-supply backdrop should continue to dominate, though any renewed heatwave forecast is a genuine wildcard that could delay the next leg lower. FTSE 100 buy dips toward 10,630, stop 10,560, target 10,850 — today’s M&A wave is a genuine standalone catalyst, though the index’s proximity to its four-month high means a disciplined stop is warranted against any give-back. EU 10Y sell yield rallies toward 2.98%, stop 3.06%, target 2.78% — the dovish Sintra tone should continue to cap yields into the 23 July ECB decision, though still-elevated headline inflation is a genuine risk to a deeper decline. Ethereum buy dips toward $1,710, stop $1,650, target $1,900 — the cluster of institutional adoption news is a genuine structural tailwind, though the Foundation’s budget and headcount cuts are a real offsetting consideration worth monitoring. Solana buy dips toward $78.50, stop $75.50, target $85.00 — with spot already at $78.71, essentially at the entry zone, network growth and fresh institutional partnerships are constructive, though the unresolved head-and-shoulders pattern and last week’s light-volume gain argue for disciplined position sizing until $82.49 resistance is decisively cleared. The decisive variables for the remainder of the session are whether today’s UK M&A wave broadens into further dealmaking headlines, and whether the ECB’s more dovish Sintra tone continues to cap Bund yields and euro conviction into the 23 July decision. Size positions accordingly, and note that this week’s Labour leadership contest and NATO summit both carry genuine event risk that could reshape sentiment through the coming days.
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