Nikkei 225 (JP225) Today: Defending 67,533 Ahead of US CPI | Market Outlook | 14 Oct 2026
Market in Focus | Nikkei 225 (JP225) | Wednesday 14 October 2026
Nikkei 225 (JP225) Today: Defending 67,533 Ahead of US CPI
67,744.07 −33.23 (−0.05%) Open 67,942.23 · High 68,408.14 · Low 67,533.10 Daily chart · RSI 52.99 · Captured 07:02 GMT
Desk bias, next 24 hours Bullish while 67,300 holds, first cap near 67,942
Market Overview
Nikkei 225 today trades at 67,744.07, down 0.05%, retesting the broken triangle top above the 66,779.06 fast average after Tuesday’s 1.82% chip-led fall. US inflation data at 12:30 GMT competes with China’s 36% export growth. Our bias is bullish while 67,300 holds, with an entry zone of 67,480–67,620 and first resistance at 67,942.23.
Key highlights
- Bias: Bullish while 67,300 holds; entry zone 67,480–67,620.
- Levels: Resistance 67,942.23, 68,408.14 and 69,500; support 67,533.10.
- Event risk: US CPI at 12:30 GMT; Beige Book at 18:00 GMT.
Nikkei 225 Trade Ticket for the Next 24 Hours
Nikkei 225
Long Medium convictionValid until 07:00 GMT Thu 15 Oct
- Entry zone
- 67,480–67,620
- Average 67,550
- Stop loss
- 67,300
- −250 points
- Take profit 1
- 67,942.23
- +392 points
- Take profit 2
- 68,408.14
- +858 points
- Take profit 3
- 69,500
- +1,950 points
Average entry 67,550. Risk 250 points. Reward:risk 1.6 to TP1, 3.4 to TP2, 7.8 to TP3.
Why this trade: Pullback to today’s low 67,533.10 retests the broken triangle top; averages at 66,779.06 and lower back the uptrend.
Cancel if: a daily close below 67,300, or a hot US CPI reading at 12:30 GMT that lifts yields.
Position risk: The stop risks 250 points, 0.37% of the average entry. Cancel if unfilled by 07:00 GMT Thursday.
Nikkei 225 Price Ladder: Every Level That Matters Today
| Price | Level | What it is | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69,500 | Resistance 3, TP3 | Round number, extension target | +1,756 points |
| 68,408.14 | Resistance 2, TP2 | Today’s high | +664 points |
| 67,942.23 | Resistance 1, TP1 | Today’s open | +198 points |
| 67,744.07 | Price now | Captured 07:02 GMT | 0 points |
| 67,480–67,620 | Entry zone | Around today’s low | −124 to −264 points |
| 67,533.10 | Support 1 | Today’s low | −211 points |
| 67,300 | Stop loss | Below today’s low | −444 points |
| 66,779.06 | Support 2 | Fast average, yellow | −965 points |
| 66,224.42 | Support 3 | Slow average | −1,520 points |
Nikkei 225 Technical Summary: Pullback Holds Above the 66,779.06 Average
- Trend
- Price broke the triangle top in early October, then pulled back from the peak to 67,744.07.
- Averages
- Fast 66,779.06, middle 66,625.99 and slow 66,224.42 averages sit below price and are converging.
- Momentum
- RSI 52.99 crossed below its 58.95 signal line, showing fading momentum.
Bull vs Bear Signal Board for Nikkei 225
| Signal | Reading | Lean |
|---|---|---|
| Trend | Above broken triangle top, 67,744.07 | Bullish |
| Moving averages | Price above 66,779.06, 66,625.99, 66,224.42 | Bullish |
| Momentum | RSI 52.99 below signal 58.95 | Neutral |
| Chip sentiment | Kioxia fell 13.28%; ASML raised guidance | Neutral |
| US inflation data | September CPI seen 3.6% versus 3.4% | Bearish |
| China demand | September exports 36% versus 25.5% expected | Bullish |
Net score: 3 bullish, 2 neutral, 1 bearish
Next 24 Hours on the GMT Clock
Wed 14 Oct
US September CPI release High
Headline seen 3.6% versus 3.4%; support 67,533.10
Wed 14 Oct
US cash equity open Medium
Chip shares set tone; watch 67,942.23
Wed 14 Oct
Fed Beige Book release Medium
Inflation commentary can pressure 67,300 support
Wed 14 Oct
New York close, daily candle close Low
A close above 67,533.10 keeps the pullback intact
Thu 15 Oct
Tokyo cash equity open Medium
A gap above 67,942.23 extends the rebound
If-Then Playbook for Nikkei 225
If price pulls back to 67,480–67,620
Then Buy with stop 67,300; targets 67,942.23, 68,408.14, 69,500
If price rises to 67,942.23 without the entry
Then Wait for a retest of 67,620 before buying
If a 4-hour close above 68,408.14 follows CPI
Then Hold for 69,500; trail stop to 67,942.23
If a daily close below 67,300 prints
Then Cancel the long; next support is 66,779.06
Catalyst Wire: Fundamental News for Nikkei 225
-
Nikkei falls 1.82% as chip shares sell off
Kioxia fell 13.28% and Tokyo Electron 7.15% on Tuesday; South Korea’s Kospi dropped 5.5% to 6,035.35 on chip losses.
Source: BigGo Finance and Associated Press, 13 October 2026
-
China September exports rise 36%, beating expectations
Exports grew about 36% from a year earlier against 25.5% expected, and producer prices rose 5% year on year.
Source: investingLive, 14 October 2026
-
Japan wholesale prices rise 6.8% in September
Wholesale prices rose 6.8% year on year and yen-based import prices rose 24.5%, according to data released on Tuesday.
Source: Business Recorder, 13 October 2026
Conclusion
Desk verdict Buy pullbacks while 67,300 holds
The desk favours a long from 67,480–67,620 targeting 67,942.23, 68,408.14 and 69,500, with the stop at 67,300. A daily close below 67,300 cancels the idea. A soft US CPI reading at 12:30 GMT can extend the rebound; renewed chip selling is the main risk.
Trade Nikkei 225 and other indices with Capital Street FX.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Nikkei 225 outlook for the next 24 hours?
Our bias is bullish while 67,300 holds, with resistance at 67,942.23 and 68,408.14 and support at 67,533.10 ahead of US CPI.
What is the Nikkei 225 trade setup today?
Long from 67,480–67,620, stop 67,300, targets 67,942.23, 68,408.14 and 69,500, valid until 07:00 GMT on Thursday 15 October.
Why did the Nikkei 225 fall on Tuesday?
Chip shares sold off on Tuesday, with Kioxia down 13.28% and Tokyo Electron down 7.15%, pulling the Nikkei 225 down 1.82%.
What time is US CPI today in GMT?
US September CPI is released at 12:30 GMT on Wednesday 14 October; headline inflation is expected at 3.6% year on year.
