Natural Gas (NATGAS) Today: Holding Above 3.064 as Freeport LNG Outage Weighs | Market Outlook – 13-10-2026
Market in Focus | Natural Gas (NATGAS) | Tuesday 13 October 2026
Natural Gas (NATGAS) Today: Holding Above 3.064 as Freeport LNG Outage Weighs
3.177 +0.010 (+0.32%) Open 3.176 · High 3.191 · Low 3.157 Daily chart · RSI 58.87 · Captured 07:07 GMT
Desk bias, next 24 hours Bullish while 3.064 holds, capped near 3.191
Market Overview
Natural gas today trades at 3.177, up 0.32%, in the upper half of a rising daily channel and above its averages at 3.064, 2.989 and 2.913. A 68 Bcf storage surplus and the Freeport LNG outage cap gains near 3.191. Our bias is Bullish while 3.064 holds, with a pullback entry at 3.095–3.115 for the next 24 hours.
Key highlights
- Bias: Bullish while 3.064 holds; first resistance is 3.191.
- Levels: Buy 3.095–3.115, stop 3.050, targets 3.191, 3.250, 3.300.
- Event risk: Hormuz headlines and the 21:00 GMT daily close can shift the setup.
Natural gas Trade Ticket for the Next 24 Hours
Natural gas
Long Medium convictionValid until 07:00 GMT Wed 14 Oct
- Entry zone
- 3.095–3.115
- Average 3.105
- Stop loss
- 3.050
- −55 pips
- Take profit 1
- 3.191
- +86 pips
- Take profit 2
- 3.250
- +145 pips
- Take profit 3
- 3.300
- +195 pips
Average entry 3.105. Risk 55 pips. Reward:risk 1.6 to TP1, 2.6 to TP2, 3.5 to TP3.
Why this trade: Pullback to the 3.100 round number, above the 3.064 average; targets are today’s high, 3.250 and 3.300.
Cancel if: a daily close below 3.050, or a Hormuz headline that reverses energy markets.
Position risk: The stop risks 1.77% of the average entry. Cancel if unfilled by 07:00 GMT Wednesday.
Natural gas Price Ladder: Every Level That Matters Today
| Price | Level | What it is | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.300 | Resistance 3, TP3 | Round number, late-September high zone | +123 pips |
| 3.250 | Resistance 2, TP2 | Round number above today’s high | +73 pips |
| 3.191 | Resistance 1, TP1 | Today’s high | +14 pips |
| 3.177 | Price now | Captured 07:07 GMT | 0 pips |
| 3.157 | Support 1 | Today’s low | −20 pips |
| 3.095–3.115 | Entry zone | Around 3.100 round number | −62 to −82 pips |
| 3.100 | Support 2 | Round number | −77 pips |
| 3.064 | Support 3 | Yellow average near channel base | −113 pips |
| 3.050 | Stop loss | Below yellow average | −127 pips |
Natural gas Technical Summary: Rising Channel Holds Above 3.064
- Trend
- Price rides a rising channel with higher lows since early August; 3.064 is the key floor.
- Averages
- Yellow 3.064, orange 2.989 and amber 2.913 all sit below price, with yellow rising.
- Momentum
- RSI 58.87 sits just above its signal line at 58.83.
Bull vs Bear Signal Board for Natural gas
| Signal | Reading | Lean |
|---|---|---|
| Trend | Rising channel; price 3.177 | Bullish |
| Moving averages | Price above 3.064, 2.989, 2.913 | Bullish |
| Momentum | RSI 58.87 versus signal 58.83 | Neutral |
| Storage | 3,500 Bcf, 68 Bcf above average | Neutral |
| LNG feedgas | Freeport train out; about 0.7 Bcf/d lost | Bearish |
| Production | US output declining, NGI 9 October | Bullish |
Net score: 3 bullish, 2 neutral, 1 bearish
Next 24 Hours on the GMT Clock
Tue 13 Oct
New York session opens Low
Liquidity builds around 3.191 resistance
Tue 13 Oct
Henry Hub daily settlement Medium
Settlement near 3.177 frames the daily candle
Tue 13 Oct
API weekly crude inventories Medium
Energy sentiment gauge; indirect link to 3.100 support
Tue 13 Oct
Daily candle close High
A close above 3.064 keeps the bias Bullish
Wed 14 Oct
Tokyo session opens Low
Asian trade tests the 3.100 round number
If-Then Playbook for Natural gas
If price pulls back into 3.095–3.115
Then buy; stop 3.050, targets 3.191, 3.250, 3.300
If price rises above 3.191 without reaching 3.115
Then wait for a retest of 3.157
If a daily close above 3.191
Then hold longs toward 3.250, then 3.300; trail stop to 3.157
If a daily close below 3.050
Then exit longs; next support is 2.989, the orange average
Catalyst Wire: Fundamental News for Natural gas
-
EIA storage build of 85 Bcf beats the 79 Bcf estimate
Stocks reached 3,500 Bcf, 68 Bcf above the five-year average; next release is 15 October.
Source: US Energy Information Administration (EIA), 8 October 2026
-
Freeport LNG outage trims US feedgas demand
One train has been offline for about a week, cutting feedgas demand by roughly 0.7 Bcf/d, nearly 5 Bcf in total.
Source: Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI), 9 October 2026
-
Brent settles near $105 as Trump rejects Iran’s Hormuz plan
An early $4 Brent jump faded as Qatari mediators planned talks; US gas is less exposed than crude.
Source: investingLive, 12 October 2026
Conclusion
Desk verdict Buy pullbacks while 3.064 holds
We favour buying a pullback into 3.095–3.115, stop 3.050, targets 3.191, 3.250 and 3.300. A daily close below 3.050 cancels the idea; above 3.191 extends it. The main risk is a Hormuz headline before the 21:00 GMT daily close.
Trade Natural gas and other commodities with Capital Street FX.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Natural gas outlook for the next 24 hours?
Natural gas is Bullish while 3.064 holds. It trades at 3.177, with resistance at 3.191, 3.250 and 3.300 until 07:00 GMT on Wednesday.
What is the Natural gas trade setup today?
Buy a pullback into 3.095–3.115 with a stop at 3.050 and targets at 3.191, 3.250 and 3.300, valid until 07:00 GMT Wednesday.
Why is Natural gas capped near 3.191?
Storage stands 68 Bcf above the five-year average after an 85 Bcf build, and Freeport LNG is running one train short.
What time is the Natural gas daily close in GMT?
The daily candle closes at 21:00 GMT on Tuesday 13 October; a close below 3.064 would end the Bullish bias.
