Bitcoin Tests $80,000 as Fed Week Opens: Ether, XRP, Litecoin and Dogecoin Sit on Their Triangle Floors | Technical Analysis – Crypto Report | 26 Oct 2026
Crypto Today | Monday 26 October 2026
Bitcoin Tests $80,000 as Fed Week Opens: Ether, XRP, Litecoin and Dogecoin Sit on Their Triangle Floors
Market Overview
Crypto opened Fed week on the back foot after a weekend liquidation flush. At about 12:00 GMT Bitcoin was $80,468 (−0.13%), Ether $2,336 (−0.16%), XRP $1.2951 (−0.36%), Litecoin $56.82 (+0.78%) and Dogecoin $0.0771 (−1.01%), per Investing.com. Bitcoin dipped to $79,146 on Saturday, more than $810 million of positions were liquidated and US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost about $773 million over two sessions. Brent near $110, the dollar index near 101.7 and the US 10-year yield near 5.0% keep the Fed on a hawkish footing, while AI funding worries are weighing on tech stocks. We read the session as a consolidation under broken or tested supports, with the Fed at 18:00 GMT on Wednesday, Thursday’s PCE and the 3 November midterms the next big tests.
Key highlights
- Bitcoin: Price is 80,468 after dropping out of its rising channel; 81,800 caps rallies and 78,400 is the next support.
- Ethereum: Price is 2,336 on the 2,321 average and triangle floor with RSI 34.63; 2,290 is the line that matters.
- XRP: Price is 1.2951 on the triangle floor and 1.2938 average; 1.27 is support and 1.3385 the first cap.
- Litecoin: Price is 56.82 near the triangle apex under 60.48; the 54.37 average and floor decide the break.
- Dogecoin: Price is 0.0771 under three averages near 0.0817–0.0871 with RSI 34.78; 0.0745 is the floor.
What’s Moving Crypto Today
Bitcoin steadies near $80,400 after a weekend flush to $79,146 and $810 million of liquidations
Bitcoin touched $79,146 on Saturday, its weakest level in over a month, before reclaiming $80,000 and is heading for a fourth straight daily decline and its first monthly drop since June. Coinglass data show more than $810 million liquidated in 24 hours, about $689 million of it longs, and the price is under its 50-day average near $81,700 with support watched at $78,400 and $77,876. Thin weekend liquidity amplified the move.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs lose about $773 million over two sessions as traders cut risk before the Fed
Farside data show roughly $773.5 million of net withdrawals from US spot Bitcoin ETFs across the previous two sessions, including a $635 million outflow on 22 October. Bitcoin trades under its seven-day average near $81,700 and its 30-day average near $83,000, and treasury companies are under strain: Strategy spent $193 million buying back preferred shares while adding only 267 Bitcoin.
Ether slips to $2,330 and tests its long average and rising trendline, about 3% lower on the week
Ether fell about 0.5% on Sunday and sits on the 2,321 average and the rising trendline from the late-June low, with daily RSI near 35. Ether ETFs saw outflows earlier in the month, and the stalled CLARITY Act vote in the US Senate still limits risk appetite for altcoins.
XRP gains 1.5% on Sunday to $1.29 and holds its triangle floor as the firmest large cap
XRP rose 1.54% to $1.2930 on Sunday while Bitcoin and Ether slid, and Investing.com data show it roughly flat on the week. It slipped under $1.30 on 20 October, and the 1.27 day low is the line that decides whether the triangle floor holds into the Fed.
Litecoin and Dogecoin trade near the bottom of their triangles after weekly losses of about 5% and 3%
Litecoin is down about 4.9% on the week and 21.8% over a month, with a 52-week range of 39.30 to 113.49, while Dogecoin is about 3% lower on the week and has stayed under its averages since early October. Litecoin’s LitVM Layer 2 backing from Luxxfolio on 13 October has not lifted the price.
AI funding worries and oil keep risk appetite fragile as Brent eases from near six-month highs
The Dow fell 1.23% and the S&P 500 0.52% on Friday as funding worries hit AI names, with CoreWeave down more than 10% and Meta down more than 9% on the week. Brent eased to about $110 from above $117 on Iran mediation efforts, the dollar index is near 101.7 and the US 10-year yield is near 5.0%, which keeps the Fed on a hawkish footing.
Key Drivers Ahead
Eight events that set direction for Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, Litecoin and Dogecoin. All times are GMT.
- Iran talks / oil
- Ongoing
- Any time
- Brent near $110 after Iran mediation news; an oil spike lifts yields and hits crypto
- Spot ETF flows
- Daily
- Each US close
- About $773 million left US Bitcoin ETFs in two sessions; more outflows keep $80,000 at risk
- AI and tech earnings
- This week
- Mon–Fri, US session
- AI funding worries drove the Friday selloff; crypto has traded with Nasdaq
- CLARITY Act
- Pending
- Any time
- The stalled Senate vote caps altcoin risk appetite; any progress helps ETH and XRP
- FOMC decision
- 28 Oct
- Hold widely expected; December hike risk drives Bitcoin, Ether and the dollar
- US Q3 GDP and PCE
- Thu
- A hot PCE print would lift hike odds and pressure the 78,400 Bitcoin support
- Monthly close
- 31 Oct
- Bitcoin is on track for its first monthly drop since June
- US midterm elections
- 3 Nov
- Fiscal and regulatory path, plus post-election Iran risk, sets the next crypto leg
Swipe the strip to see every driver.
Trade Setups for Today
Ranked in the order Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Litecoin and Dogecoin, valid for today’s session. A 1-hour close beyond the stop cancels the idea.
| Instrument | Direction | Entry | Stop | Target 1 | Target 2 | Reward:risk | Conviction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Short | 81,800 | 83,000 | 78,400 | 77,000 | 2.8 / 4.0 | Medium |
| Ethereum | Short | 2,435 | 2,520 | 2,290 | 2,150 | 1.7 / 3.4 | Medium |
| XRP | Long | 1.2750 | 1.2350 | 1.3385 | 1.4022 | 1.6 / 3.2 | Low |
| Litecoin | Short | 60.40 | 62.40 | 54.40 | 51.00 | 3.0 / 4.7 | Low |
| Dogecoin | Short | 0.0815 | 0.0840 | 0.0745 | 0.0685 | 2.8 / 5.2 | Medium |
Reward:risk is the distance from entry to each target divided by the distance from entry to the stop. Levels are read from the daily charts captured at 11:52–11:54 GMT on 26 October: Bitcoin, Ether, XRP and Litecoin from Bitstamp and Dogecoin from Binance DOGEUSDT, so levels can differ slightly from the Investing.com quotes. Every entry sits away from the current price and needs a pullback or a bounce to trigger. Levels are conditional technical references, not recommendations.
Risk Scenario Analysis
The Fed at 18:00 GMT on 28 October, oil and Iran headlines and Thursday’s PCE are the swing factors, with the 3 November midterms behind them.
Hawkish Fed and an oil spike: yields and the dollar rise, ETF outflows continue and crypto breaks its floors
A message confirming a December hike, with oil pushing back above its highs, would drag the majors through their triangle floors and trigger more long liquidations.
- Bitcoin78,400, then 76,000
- Ethereum2,290, then 2,150
- XRP1.2700, then 1.2000
- Litecoin54.37, then 51.00
- Dogecoin0.0745, then 0.0685
A dovish hold and an Iran deal: oil and yields ease and crypto rallies toward its falling averages
A cautious Fed and a credible US-Iran agreement would calm yields, lift tech and let the majors recover toward their short averages.
- Bitcoin81,800, then 84,000
- Ethereum2,435, then 2,540
- XRP1.3385, then 1.4022
- Litecoin60.48, then 61.33
- Dogecoin0.0817, then 0.0871
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) | Bitstamp chart
Bitcoin Analysis: Price Falls Out of Its Rising Channel and Retests the Floor From Underneath Below Two Short Averages Near 81,800
80,468.20 −102.90 (−0.13%) at about 12:00 GMT Weekend low 79,146 | Bitstamp chart 80,240 at 11:52 GMT
Outlook: Bias is lower while 81,800 caps rallies. Bitcoin dipped to 79,146 over the weekend, its weakest in over a month, as $810 million of liquidations and spot ETF outflows hit ahead of the Fed.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 75,600
- Support 1
- 78,400
- Resistance 1
- 81,800
- Resistance 2
- 84,000
- Price (80,240 on the chart) is under the 81,802 and 81,990 averages, which also sit on the broken channel floor, and above the 75,603 long average; 81,800–81,990 is the supply zone.
- RSI 42.58 is under its signal line at 47.53, a soft reading; a close under 78,400 opens 76,000 and the 75,603 average, while a close over 81,990 puts the channel back in play toward 84,000.
Setup: Short at 81,800, stop 83,000, targets 78,400 and 77,000. Reward:risk 2.8 / 4.0, medium conviction. A bounce into the 81,800–81,990 averages is the entry; ETF outflows and a Fed that may still lean hawkish keep pressure on, and a daily close over 83,000 cancels the idea.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) | Bitstamp chart
Ethereum Analysis: Price Sits on the Rising Floor of a Triangle Right on the 2,321 Average With RSI Near 35
2,336.19 −3.85 (−0.16%) at about 12:00 GMT Day low 2,290 | Bitstamp chart 2,330.6 at 11:52 GMT
Outlook: Bias is lower while 2,435 caps rallies, but the floor is being defended. Ether is about 3% down on the week and is testing the rising trendline from the late-June low together with its long average.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 2,150
- Support 1
- 2,290
- Resistance 1
- 2,435
- Resistance 2
- 2,540
- Price (2,330.6 on the chart) is above the 2,321.3 average but under the 2,435.0 and 2,539.5 averages; today’s 2,290 low and the floor line are the last support before the August gap.
- RSI 34.63 is under its signal line at 38.79 and close to oversold; a daily close under 2,290 opens 2,150, while a close over 2,435 would turn the triangle roof near 2,600 into the target.
Setup: Short at 2,435, stop 2,520, targets 2,290 and 2,150. Reward:risk 1.7 / 3.4, medium conviction. A bounce into the 2,435 average is the entry; failure of the triangle floor would confirm the move, and a daily close over 2,520 cancels the idea.
XRP (XRP/USD) | Bitstamp chart
XRP Analysis: Price Holds the 1.29 Triangle Floor and Long Average While Momentum Stays Weak
1.2951 −0.0047 (−0.36%) at about 12:00 GMT Day range 1.2714–1.2987 | Bitstamp chart 1.2940 at 11:52 GMT
Outlook: Bias is neutral to lower while 1.3385 caps rallies, with a low-conviction bounce case from the floor. XRP was the firmer major over the weekend, rising 1.5% on Sunday to 1.2930, and is roughly flat on the week.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 1.2000
- Support 1
- 1.2700
- Resistance 1
- 1.3385
- Resistance 2
- 1.4022
- Price (1.2940 on the chart) is on the 1.2938 average and under the 1.3385 and 1.4022 averages; today’s 1.2714 low is the first support.
- RSI 39.19 is level with its signal line at 39.35, a weak but stabilising reading; a close under 1.27 opens 1.20 and the floor line, while a close over 1.3385 would aim at 1.4022 and the roof near 1.47.
Setup: Long at 1.2750, stop 1.2350, targets 1.3385 and 1.4022. Reward:risk 1.6 / 3.2, low conviction. A dip to the 1.2714 low area that holds the triangle floor is the entry; this is a counter-trend idea into a Fed week, and a 1-hour close under 1.235 cancels it.
Litecoin (LTC/USD) | Bitstamp chart
Litecoin Analysis: Price Is Squeezed Near the Apex of a Triangle Below Two Short Averages Near 60.48
56.82 +0.44 (+0.78%) at about 12:00 GMT Day range 56.01–57.34 | Bitstamp chart 56.61 at 11:52 GMT
Outlook: Bias is lower while 60.48 caps rallies. Litecoin is down about 4.9% on the week and 21.8% over a month, and the converging triangle lines mean a break is close.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 51.00
- Support 1
- 54.37
- Resistance 1
- 60.48
- Resistance 2
- 61.33
- Price (56.61 on the chart) is under the 60.48 and 61.33 averages and above the 54.37 long average, which lies on the triangle floor.
- RSI 36.53 is under its signal line at 41.16 and near oversold; a close under 54.37 opens 51.00, while a close over 61.33 would break the falling roof.
Setup: Short at 60.40, stop 62.40, targets 54.40 and 51.00. Reward:risk 3.0 / 4.7, low conviction. A bounce into the 60.48 average is the entry; the narrow triangle can break either way, so conviction is low, and a daily close over 62.40 cancels the idea.
Dogecoin (DOGE/USD) | Binance chart
Dogecoin Analysis: Price Presses a Falling Roof Under Three Averages With RSI at 34.78 Just Above the Triangle Floor
0.07710 −0.0008 (−1.01%) at about 12:00 GMT Day range 0.07598–0.07740 | Binance DOGEUSDT chart 0.07729 at 11:52 GMT
Outlook: Bias is lower while 0.0817 caps rallies. Dogecoin is down about 3% on the week and has stayed under its averages since the early-October rejection from 0.106.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 0.0685
- Support 1
- 0.0745
- Resistance 1
- 0.0817
- Resistance 2
- 0.0871
- Price (0.07729 on the chart) is under the 0.08167, 0.08176 and 0.08705 averages, which cluster at 0.0817–0.0871 and cap any bounce.
- RSI 34.78 is under its signal line at 37.37 and near oversold; a close under the 0.0745 floor opens 0.0685, while a close over 0.0817 would challenge the roof and the 0.0871 average.
Setup: Short at 0.0815, stop 0.0840, targets 0.0745 and 0.0685. Reward:risk 2.8 / 5.2, medium conviction. A bounce into the 0.0817 average cluster is the entry; the floor near 0.0745 is the first target, and a daily close over 0.0840 cancels the idea.
Conclusion
Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin and Dogecoin all trade under falling or broken averages, so we prefer selling bounces into 81,800, 2,435, 60.40 and 0.0815. XRP is the one counter-trend idea, a low-conviction long from the 1.275 triangle floor. The nearest risks are oil and Iran headlines at any time, daily ETF flows, the Fed at 18:00 GMT on 28 October, US GDP and PCE at 12:30 GMT on Thursday and the 3 November midterms. A daily close over 81,990 in Bitcoin or under 78,400 would change the picture.
Trade Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Litecoin and Dogecoin with Capital Street FX.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is Bitcoin struggling around $80,000 before the Fed?
Oil near $110 keeps inflation and rate-hike risk alive, spot ETFs have lost about $773 million in two sessions and $810 million of liquidations hit leveraged longs. Bitcoin is under its 50-day average near $81,700; $78,400 is the next support and 81,800 the first cap.
Where is the key level for Bitcoin?
The 81,800–81,990 average zone is the key cap because it also marks the broken channel floor. Support is 78,400, then 76,000 and the 75,603 long average. A daily close over 81,990 would put the rising channel back in play toward 84,000.
Are Ether, XRP, Litecoin and Dogecoin at make-or-break levels?
All four sit at or near triangle floors, with RSI between 35 and 39. Ether’s floor is 2,290, XRP’s 1.27, Litecoin’s 54.37 and Dogecoin’s 0.0745; a daily close under those levels would confirm a breakdown, while a Fed-driven bounce would meet the averages first.
Why do the prices differ from the charts?
The charts are Bitstamp daily candles for Bitcoin, Ether, XRP and Litecoin and Binance DOGEUSDT for Dogecoin, captured at 11:52–11:54 GMT, while the headline quotes are Investing.com live prices, so small gaps of 0.1–0.4% are normal.
