Crypto Bleeds as Bitcoin Pins the $74K Floor, XRP Hits 60-Session Lows and a 96% Fed Hike Bet Meets CPI at 13:30 GMT | Technical Analysis – Crypto Report | 10 Nov 2026
LIVE Crypto | Tuesday 10 November 2026 | 12:20 GMT live snapshot (latest verified, CPI not yet released), London session under way | US CPI 13:30 GMT
Crypto Bleeds as Bitcoin Pins the $74K Floor, XRP Hits 60-Session Lows and a 96% Fed Hike Bet Meets CPI at 13:30 GMT
Market Overview
Crypto is on the ropes: six straight days of selling, Bitcoin pinned to the floor of its falling channel, and 70 minutes to the one number that can break it or rescue it, US October CPI at 13:30 GMT. Waller has said he would back a December hike even on a softer print, taking the CME hike odds from about 76% to 96%. Spot ETFs are bleeding (Bitcoin ETFs lost $201 million on Monday and about $2.2 billion this month), the roughly $6.3 billion Binance breach and the stalled CLARITY Act still scare buyers, and crypto ignored Monday’s equity rally, with the S&P 500 up 2.3% and Nasdaq up 2.7%. That divergence is the warning sign.
The 12:20 GMT live snapshot shows damage across the board: Bitcoin 74,261 (−1.34%), Ether 2,090.0 (−1.98%), XRP 1.07978 (−1.58%) at a fresh 60-session low with RSI 25.42, Solana 84.69 (−2.23%) on its June trendline and Litecoin 51.30 (−0.05%) hugging the triangle floor. Fear & Greed sits near 31. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core; a 0.3% core print would all but lock the hike and expose 73,500 in Bitcoin, 2,081 in Ether and 1.0692 in XRP, while a soft print could trigger a squeeze with more than $11 billion of short liquidity stacked above 75,000. Desk plan: buy the channel floors in Bitcoin, Solana and Litecoin with tight stops, sell bounces in Ether and XRP, and respect the 13:30 GMT gap risk. CPI has not yet printed, and the US session has not yet opened.
Key highlights
- Bitcoin: Price 74,261 is at the channel floor under the 77,524 average; 75,500 caps and 73,500 is the floor.
- Ethereum: Price 2,090 is under the broken trendline and all three averages; 2,200 caps and 2,081 supports.
- XRP: Price 1.0798 has broken the triangle with RSI 25.42; 1.125 caps and 1.0692 supports.
- Solana: Price 84.69 sits on the rising trendline from June; 88.37 caps and 84.00 holds.
- Litecoin: Price 51.30 is near the triangle floor under all three averages; 52.50 caps and 50.00 holds.
What’s Moving Crypto Today
Bitcoin slips under 75,000 for a sixth day after spot ETFs lost $201 million, with Fear & Greed near 31
Bitcoin posted its lowest weekly close since August and briefly dipped to about 73,470 on Sunday, its weakest in more than two months. US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $201 million on 9 November and about $2.2 billion since the start of the month, while US stocks posted their biggest daily gain since April and crypto failed to follow.
Source: FXStreet, Coinpedia, CryptoTimes (Farside data), KuCoin, Aktualita, 10 Nov 2026
Waller backs a December hike even on a softer CPI, lifting the hike bet to about 96% before the 13:30 GMT print
Cointelegraph reports Waller said he would still support a 25 basis point rise on 9 December, and CME FedWatch odds jumped from about 76% to 96%. October CPI is expected at +0.3% headline and +0.2% core, with no annual rate because of last year’s shutdown. The Fed held at 3.75% to 4.00% on 28 October.
Source: Cointelegraph, FXStreet, Kiplinger, CME FedWatch, 10 Nov 2026
The roughly $6.3 billion Binance security breach and the stalled CLARITY Act keep weighing on sentiment
Customers have been withdrawing billions since Binance resumed services, and Reuters, as cited by CoinCentral, lists the breach and the stalled US market-structure bill among the pressures. Liquidations of more than $1 billion over the weekend pushed Bitcoin close to 70,000 before the bounce.
Source: Crypto.news, CoinCentral (Reuters), AMBCrypto, Investing.com, 10 Nov 2026
Ether sits near 2,090 after ETH ETFs lost $365 million, with ETH/BTC at its lowest since July
Ethereum fell about 4.6% on Monday as the community debated Vitalik Buterin’s call to value ETH as a store of value rather than on fee burns. Bitmine bought another 9,587 ETH and now holds about 4.97% of supply, but ETF flows and leveraged long liquidations dominate.
Source: FXStreet, Crypto.news, CryptoTicker, CoinCentral, 10 Nov 2026
XRP RSI falls under 30 and Solana holds its lower Bollinger Band as XRP and SOL ETFs see outflows
XRP set a new 60-session low near 1.075 and has fallen six days in a row, with XRP spot ETFs seeing $10 million of outflows on Monday. Solana is in a downtrend with a death cross looming, and Monday’s high at 88.37 is the first level it needs to reclaim.
Source: FXStreet, Cryptonews, SoSoValue, 10 Nov 2026
S&P 500 and Nasdaq jumped 2.3% and 2.7% on Monday, but Nasdaq futures are 0.4% lower into the US open
Equities rallied on Monday while crypto lagged, a divergence analysts read as a lack of fresh buyers. Litecoin has held the triangle floor near 50 and is flat today, though it is down about 26% over 30 days.
Source: KuCoin, Cointelegraph, CryptoTicker, 10 Nov 2026
Key Drivers for the Rest of Today
Six things that set direction for the rest of the session in Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Litecoin. All times are GMT.
- US CPI
- 13:30
- Tue 10 Nov, 13:30 GMT
- October CPI (+0.3% headline and +0.2% core expected) is the key print; hike odds already near 96%
- US cash open
- 14:30
- Tue 10 Nov, 14:30 GMT
- Nasdaq futures were 0.4% lower earlier; equity direction feeds crypto sentiment
- Logan speaks
- 15:50
- Tue 10 Nov, 15:50 GMT
- Hawkish voter Logan reacts to CPI, adding to the hike bet
- Schmid speaks
- 18:30
- Tue 10 Nov, 18:30 GMT
- Fed speakers continue after CPI into the evening
- Bowman speaks
- 20:30
- Tue 10 Nov, 20:30 GMT
- Dovish voter Bowman is the last Fed speaker of the day
- Setup expiry and daily close
- 21:00
- Tue 10 Nov, 21:00 GMT; Wed 11 Nov, 00:00 GMT
- Unfilled ideas lapse at 21:00 GMT; crypto daily candles close at 00:00 GMT
Swipe the strip to see every driver.
Trade Setups for Today
Ranked in the order Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Litecoin, valid until 21:00 GMT today. A 4-hour close beyond the stop cancels the idea.
| Instrument | Direction | Entry | Stop | Target 1 | Target 2 | Reward:risk | Conviction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | Long | 73,600 | 72,200 | 75,500 | 77,500 | 1.4 / 2.8 | Low |
| Ethereum (ETHUSD) | Short | 2,175 | 2,235 | 2,081 | 2,000 | 1.6 / 2.9 | Medium |
| XRP (XRPUSD) | Short | 1.1250 | 1.1650 | 1.0700 | 1.0000 | 1.4 / 3.1 | Medium |
| Solana (SOLUSD) | Long | 84.00 | 81.80 | 88.37 | 91.00 | 2.0 / 3.2 | Low |
| Litecoin (LTCUSD) | Long | 50.60 | 49.40 | 52.50 | 54.88 | 1.6 / 3.6 | Low |
Reward:risk is the distance from entry to each target divided by the distance from entry to the stop. A third target for each market is in its section below. Levels come from the daily charts captured at 12:20 GMT (17:50 UTC+5:30), from the Bitstamp feed for Bitcoin, Ether, XRP and Litecoin and the Coinbase feed for Solana. Every entry sits away from the current price and needs a pullback or a bounce to trigger, and CPI at 13:30 GMT can gap prices through them. Three ideas are long and two are short; the three longs all lean on a soft CPI, so a hot print would hit them together. Levels are conditional technical references, not recommendations.
Risk Scenario Analysis
US CPI at 13:30 GMT and the Fed speakers are the swing factors for the rest of today.
If core CPI prints 0.3% or more, yields and the dollar rise and crypto breaks its channel floors
A hot core print would take the December hike toward full pricing and add to ETF outflows. Bitcoin, Ether, Solana and Litecoin would lose their floors, and XRP would head for 1.00.
- Bitcoin73,500, then 72,000
- Ethereum2,081, then 2,000
- XRP1.0692, then 1.0000
- Solana84.00, then 78.50
- Litecoin50.00, then 48.00
If core CPI cools to 0.1% or 0.2%, a short squeeze lifts crypto toward its overhead averages
Waller has said he would hike anyway, so a soft print would trim rather than remove the hike bet. With shorts crowded, even a modest relief could trigger a bounce to resistance.
- Bitcoin75,500, then 77,500
- Ethereum2,200, then 2,274
- XRP1.1250, then 1.2000
- Solana88.37, then 94.00
- Litecoin52.50, then 54.88
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) | Investing.com basis, Bitstamp chart feed
Bitcoin Analysis: Price Presses the Falling Channel Floor Under 75,000 With US CPI at 13:30 GMT the Test for 73,500
74,261 −1,006 (−1.34%) on the daily chart Previous close 75,267 | Range 74,019 to 75,334
Outlook: Bias is lower while price stays under 77,524, but today is a CPI day and the channel floor is being tested. Bitcoin is down for a sixth day, after US spot ETFs lost $201 million on 9 November, and the Fed hike bet stands at about 96% following Waller’s comments. A soft core print could squeeze shorts back toward 77,500, while a 0.3% core print would put 72,000 in play.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 72,000
- Support 1
- 73,500
- Resistance 1
- 75,500
- Resistance 2
- 77,500
- Price (74,261) is under all three averages (77,524, 78,106 and 81,380), and the November high near 81,000 was rejected. Main catalysts: CPI at 13:30 GMT, the US cash open at 14:30 GMT and ETF flow data, with Fear & Greed at 31.
- RSI 35.45 under its 38.63 average: weak but not oversold. A close above 75,500 targets 77,500; a close under 73,500 opens 72,000 and the channel breakdown.
Setup: Long at 73,600, stop 72,200, targets 75,500, 77,500 and 78,100. Reward:risk 1.4 / 2.8 / 3.2, low conviction. Cancel if a 4-hour close under 72,200, or if a hot core CPI lifts hike odds toward 100%. Cancel if unfilled by 21:00 GMT today.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) | Investing.com basis, Bitstamp chart feed
Ethereum Analysis: Price Stays Below the Broken Trendline as ETF Outflows and the ETH/BTC Slide Keep 2,100 Under Pressure
2,090.0 −42.3 (−1.98%) on the daily chart Previous close 2,132.3 | Range 2,081.5 to 2,132.7
Outlook: Bias is lower on bounces while price holds under 2,200. Ether is hovering near its lowest since August after Monday’s drop of about 4.6% on Vitalik Buterin’s store-of-value debate, after spot ETH ETFs lost $365 million. A bounce into the broken trendline is a sell; a close back above 2,274 would end the setup.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 2,000
- Support 1
- 2,081
- Resistance 1
- 2,200
- Resistance 2
- 2,274
- Price (2,090) is under all three averages (2,274, 2,374 and 2,457). ETH/BTC is near 0.0283, the lowest since July, and Bitmine has lifted its holdings to 6.07 million ETH, about 4.97% of supply.
- RSI 31.68 under its 36.27 average: close to oversold. A close under 2,081 targets 2,000 and 1,970; a close above 2,200 targets 2,274.
Setup: Short at 2,175, stop 2,235, targets 2,081, 2,000 and 1,970. Reward:risk 1.6 / 2.9 / 3.4, medium conviction. Cancel if a 4-hour close above 2,235, or if a soft CPI sparks a broad crypto squeeze. Cancel if unfilled by 21:00 GMT today.
XRP (XRP/USD) | Investing.com basis, Bitstamp chart feed
XRP Analysis: Triangle Breakdown Extends to a Fresh 60-Session Low as RSI Drops Toward 25 and 1.00 Beckons
1.07978 −0.01737 (−1.58%) on the daily chart Previous close 1.09715 | Range 1.07386 to 1.10439
Outlook: Bias is lower on bounces, though RSI near 25 means a sharp relief rally is possible. XRP has fallen for six days, spot XRP ETFs saw $10 million of outflows on Monday and price sits far under the averages. A bounce toward 1.125 is a sell; a close above 1.20 would damage the setup.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 1.0000
- Support 1
- 1.0692
- Resistance 1
- 1.1250
- Resistance 2
- 1.2000
- Price (1.0798) is under all three averages (1.2402, 1.3131 and 1.3554). Main catalysts: CPI at 13:30 GMT and ETF flows. Monday’s high at 1.125 is the first recovery marker.
- RSI 25.42 under its 35.62 average: oversold, but the trend is still down. A close under 1.0692 targets 1.00 and 0.9862; a close above 1.125 targets 1.20.
Setup: Short at 1.1250, stop 1.1650, targets 1.0700, 1.0000 and 0.9862. Reward:risk 1.4 / 3.1 / 3.5, medium conviction. Cancel if a 4-hour close above 1.1650, or if RSI turns up from oversold with a daily close above 1.125. Cancel if unfilled by 21:00 GMT today.
Solana (SOL/USD) | Investing.com basis, Coinbase chart feed
Solana Analysis: Price Lands on the Rising Trendline From June as a Death Cross Looms and SOL ETFs Bleed
84.69 −1.93 (−2.23%) on the daily chart Previous close 86.62 | Range 84.11 to 86.72
Outlook: Bias is lower while price stays under 88.37, but the rising trendline from the June low is being tested right now. SOL is down about 2.2% today after a long slide from the late-September high near 125, and SOL ETFs are seeing outflows. A hold of 84 allows a bounce; a 4-hour close under 82 breaks the triangle.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 78.50
- Support 1
- 84.00
- Resistance 1
- 88.37
- Resistance 2
- 94.00
- Price (84.69) is at the triangle floor and near the lower Bollinger Band. A death cross of the moving averages looms, and Monday’s high at 88.37 is the first level to reclaim.
- A close above 88.37 opens 94 and 96.21; a close under 84 puts 78.50 in sight. The chart shows no RSI, so momentum is read from the price slide.
Setup: Long at 84.00, stop 81.80, targets 88.37, 91.00 and 94.00. Reward:risk 2.0 / 3.2 / 4.5, low conviction. Cancel if a 4-hour close under 81.80, or if a hot CPI hits risk assets before the entry fills. Cancel if unfilled by 21:00 GMT today.
Litecoin (LTC/USD) | Investing.com basis, Bitstamp chart feed
Litecoin Analysis: Price Holds the Triangle Floor Near 50 While Staying Under Every Average, With CPI the Next Trigger
51.30 −0.03 (−0.05%) on the daily chart Previous close 51.33 | Range 50.92 to 51.57
Outlook: Bias is higher on dips with low conviction. LTC is the steadiest of the five today (flat on the day), but it is down about 26% over 30 days and is pressed against the floor of the falling triangle. A hold of 50 allows a bounce toward 54.88; a close under it opens 48.
Key levels
- Support 2
- 48.00
- Support 1
- 50.00
- Resistance 1
- 52.50
- Resistance 2
- 54.88
- Price (51.30) is under all three averages (54.88, 55.56 and 61.10), and the triangle is nearly out of room. The day’s low at 50.92 is the first support, with 50.00 the round-number floor.
- RSI 36.96 just under its 37.82 average: weak, not oversold. A close above 52.50 targets 54.88; a close under 50.00 targets 48.00.
Setup: Long at 50.60, stop 49.40, targets 52.50, 54.88 and 55.56. Reward:risk 1.6 / 3.6 / 4.1, low conviction. Cancel if a 4-hour close under 49.40, or if a hot CPI drags the whole crypto complex lower. Cancel if unfilled by 21:00 GMT today.
Conclusion
Falling ETF demand and a 96% hike bet keep crypto on the back foot into CPI, so we prefer buying the floors in Bitcoin near 73,600, Solana near 84.00 and Litecoin near 50.60 (all low conviction), and selling bounces in Ether near 2,175 and XRP near 1.1250 (both medium). The session risks are CPI at 13:30 GMT, the US open at 14:30, Logan at 15:50 and the 00:00 GMT daily close. A 4-hour close under 72,200 in Bitcoin or above 2,235 in Ether would change the picture.
Trade Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Litecoin with Capital Street FX.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the crypto outlook for today?
Crypto is lower for a sixth day, with Bitcoin under 75,000 and Ether near 2,090. US CPI at 13:30 GMT is the main scheduled test, with the December hike already priced near 96%.
Which crypto trade ideas are live today?
Long Bitcoin, Solana and Litecoin on dips, and short Ether and XRP on bounces, each with a stop and three targets valid until 21:00 GMT.
What time are the key events in GMT?
US CPI is at 13:30 GMT, the US cash open at 14:30, Logan at 15:50, Schmid at 18:30, Bowman at 20:30, setups expire at 21:00 and crypto daily candles close at 00:00 GMT on 11 November.
Why is Bitcoin falling today?
Waller backed a December hike, spot Bitcoin ETFs are seeing outflows, the Binance breach and stalled CLARITY Act weigh on sentiment, and Bitcoin has not followed Monday’s equity rally. Price is testing the floor of its falling channel.
Is XRP oversold?
XRP’s RSI is 25.42, which is oversold, and price is at a fresh 60-session low. That allows a sharp bounce, but the triangle breakdown and ETF outflows keep the trend down below 1.125.
