European Shares Muted as Tech Slide Offsets Miner Gains, Middle East Fire Persists; Sterling Extends Gain on UK Political Reset, Silver Tops $60 | European Session – Technical Analysis | 10 July 2026
European Shares Muted as Tech Slide Offsets Miner Gains and EasyJet’s Apollo Bid Jump; Middle East Fire Persists as Sterling Extends Gains on UK Political Reset
European shares are muted and on track for a weekly loss as a tech-sector pullback offsets gains in miners and an Apollo-fuelled EasyJet surge, while renewed US-Iran strikes keep Middle East risk elevated and Sterling extends its advance on a fading UK political-risk premium.
Friday’s European session has opened on a subdued footing after a choppy week dominated by the US-Iran standoff. The pan-European Stoxx 600 was up around 0.2% to 642.42 by 0714 GMT, but remains on track for a weekly loss that could snap a four-week winning streak, a more cautious tone than Thursday’s 0.8% rebound to 640.88 that had followed three consecutive days of declines. Most sectors are trading higher, led by a roughly 2% gain in mining stocks and a 1% advance in travel and leisure, where airlines are broadly firmer; UK budget carrier EasyJet has jumped as much as 13.4% after agreeing in principle to a £5.7 billion ($7.65 billion) takeover approach from private equity firm Apollo Global. That advance is being capped by renewed selling in chipmakers, with Siltronic down around 2% and Soitec off close to 2.8%, while Dutch lithography giant ASML has slipped about 2%, as investors turn cautious on AI-linked valuations ahead of South Korean memory-chip maker SK Hynix’s keenly watched US listing, which priced its American depositary receipts at $149 to raise roughly $26.5 billion. The FTSE 100 remains the regional laggard on a multi-day view, trading little-changed in a 10,472-10,489 range after Thursday’s 0.16% dip to 10,489.04, still nursing the hit from AstraZeneca’s near-9% slide on its Wainua drug’s failed late-stage cardiac trial and a sharper 1.84% drop earlier in the week.
The Middle East backdrop has not delivered the cooling markets had hoped for. US forces struck targets in Iran’s Bushehr province — home to the country’s nuclear power plant — and other southern port cities over the past two days, while Iran retaliated with missile and drone fire on US-allied Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan, with sirens sounding across the Gulf. US officials say technical talks toward a resolution continue even as President Trump has said the ceasefire memorandum is “over” and warned of further strikes. In currencies, Sterling continues to extend its advance, trading near 1.3430 against the Dollar, supported both by growing bets that the Bank of England will need to raise rates again and by a further unwinding of UK political-risk premium as Andy Burnham’s path to succeeding Keir Starmer as prime minister on 20 July becomes increasingly certain. The Euro is comparatively firm but capped near 1.1430, with a resilient Dollar and the ECB’s own hawkish June accounts keeping the pair rangebound ahead of the ECB’s 23 July meeting; ECB President Christine Lagarde has reaffirmed the central bank’s commitment to restoring price stability while dismissing speculation she might leave for French politics.
Eurozone rates markets continue to reflect a hawkish undertone: Germany’s 10-year Bund yield remains firm near its highest levels since May, while the 20-year sector holds close to multi-month highs, as markets weigh the prospect that the ECB may need to keep policy restrictive for longer against oil-driven inflation risk stemming from the renewed Middle East conflict. In commodities, Silver has pushed back above the $60 mark, trading near $60.32 an ounce and up around 0.6% on the day, as Dollar softness outweighs the lingering Middle East risk premium, even though the metal remains down sharply over the past month from levels above $61; industrial demand and continued central-bank gold buying in Asia remain the longer-term structural support.
In digital assets, Ethereum is consolidating near $1,783.56, still battling the closely watched Supertrend and 50-day EMA resistance cluster around $1,816 that has capped every rally attempt since the June selloff, with Vitalik Buterin’s newly published “Lean Ethereum” roadmap and a roughly 250% monthly rise in JPMorgan’s tokenized JLTXX money-market fund AUM on the network offering supportive longer-term narratives. Tether, meanwhile, faces a fresh European regulatory headwind: Revolut has confirmed it will delist USDT for EEA and Swiss retail customers by 31 August 2026 under the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, after Tether opted not to seek MiCA authorization, a move that lands the same week Tether executed a $2.5 billion USDT burn on Ethereum — its largest single redemption-driven reduction since February — even as the token’s headline peg has held firmly at $1.00 throughout. Looking ahead through the remainder of the European session, the decisive variables are Canada’s 12:30 GMT employment report, any further US-Iran headlines, and whether today’s tech-versus-value rotation deepens into the US afternoon.
European Session Headlines
The stories driving price action across equities, FX, rates, commodities and crypto this session
European Session Economic Calendar — 10 July 2026
Key releases and events shaping price action across today’s European session (times CEST unless noted)
| Time | Event | Actual / Detail | Impact | Market Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸Overnight | Iran-US Tensions Show Tentative Cooling | Reports indicate Washington and Tehran will continue technical talks despite this week’s exchange of strikes near the Strait of Hormuz | 🔴 CRITICAL | Supports the chip-led equity rally carrying over from Asia and lets oil settle back from midweek highs |
| 🇪🇺Thursday | ECB June Meeting Accounts Released | Governing Council members flag inflation staying above the 2% target into the first half of 2027; Lagarde reaffirms commitment to price stability | 🔴 CRITICAL | Lends the Euro a hawkish undertone without triggering a sustained break higher against the Dollar |
| 🇬🇧Today | BOE Chief Economist Huw Pill Remarks | Pill reiterates rates may need to rise again within the coming year if inflationary pressures persist | 🔴 CRITICAL | Drives Sterling to a four-week high near 1.3415 against the Dollar |
| 🇬🇧Thursday | AstraZeneca’s Wainua Fails Late-Stage Cardiac Trial | Shares slump as much as 8.8% after the Ionis-partnered gene-silencing drug misses its primary endpoint in a rare cardiac disease study | 🔴 CRITICAL | Primary drag on the FTSE 100’s underperformance versus continental peers |
| 🇩🇪This Week | Germany May Trade Balance | Surplus widens to €19.1 billion from an upwardly revised €14.7 billion, beating €14.8 billion expected, on surging US-bound exports | 🟢 MEDIUM | Modestly supportive for the Euro and German growth outlook despite tariff-related uncertainty |
| 🇬🇧This Week | UK RICS House Price Balance | Balance edges up to -33% in June from -34% in May, pointing to only tentative signs of improvement | 🟢 MEDIUM | Limited near-term FX impact but consistent with a still-soft UK housing backdrop |
| 🇺🇸This Week | Tether Executes $2.5bn USDT Burn on Ethereum; Revolut Confirms EEA Delisting | Largest single USDT burn since February coincides with Revolut’s move to fully remove USDT for EEA/Swiss customers by 31 August under MiCA | 🟢 MEDIUM | Highlights heavy redemption activity and a widening European regulatory squeeze on USDT, though the $1.00 peg has held throughout |
| 🇨🇦Today 12:30 GMT | Canada Employment Change & Unemployment Rate | Markets look for confirmation that the labour market continues to rebalance after recent moderation in wage growth | 🟢 MEDIUM | Key swing factor for CAD crosses into the North American open |
| 🔮Ongoing | Ethereum Tests $1,816 Supertrend/50-Day EMA Cluster | Vitalik Buterin’s “Lean Ethereum” roadmap and a roughly 250% monthly rise in JPMorgan’s tokenized JLTXX fund AUM on Ethereum support the longer-term institutional narrative | ⚪ LOW | Reinforces the bullish structural case even as near-term price action stays capped by resistance |
European Session Trade Ideas — 10 July 2026
Seven structured setups — EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Silver, FTSE 100, EU 20Y, Ethereum, Tether (USDT) — with updated prices, levels, and full fundamental and technical analysis
EUR/USD
Fundamental Backdrop
EUR/USD is stabilizing near 1.4442 after Wednesday’s slide to a one-year-low-adjacent 1.4396, as markets digest Thursday’s hawkish ECB June meeting accounts, which showed policymakers expect eurozone inflation to stay above the 2% target into the first half of 2027 despite markets already pricing in several additional rate increases. President Lagarde’s reaffirmation of the ECB’s commitment to price stability, alongside her dismissal of speculation she might leave the ECB for French politics, has removed a layer of political-risk overhang. The pair remains constrained by a broadly resilient Dollar underpinned by the Federal Reserve’s own hawkish June minutes under new Chair Kevin Warsh, with the Fed holding rates at 3.50-3.75% and a divided Committee split on the need for further hikes.
Technical Outlook
EUR/USD is attempting to build a base after tagging its lowest level since mid-March near 1.4396 on Wednesday, with today’s bounce testing the 1.4441-1.4461 area that capped price action earlier this week. The pair remains below its 50-day moving average, consistent with the broader 2026 downtrend, but short-term momentum is turning constructively higher off oversold intraday conditions. Resistance sits at 1.4461 (this week’s prior high) and 1.4491 (this trade’s target, the early-July swing high). Support lies at 1.4401 (this trade’s buy-dip level) and 1.4357 (the 2026 low). A confirmed close below 1.4357 would expose fresh multi-year lows, while a reclaim of 1.4491 would open the door to the 1.4546 area.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any further Iran-US headlines that could revive broad Dollar safe-haven demand; (2) follow-through commentary from ECB officials on the June accounts, particularly around the pace of any further tightening; (3) Germany’s trade and industrial data pipeline into next week; (4) Canada’s 12:30 GMT employment report, given its read-through for broader Dollar positioning; (5) next week’s US CPI report and Fed Chair Warsh’s congressional testimony.
GBP/USD
Fundamental Backdrop
Sterling has climbed to a four-week high near 1.3415 against the Dollar, supported by broad Dollar softness and hawkish signalling from the Bank of England. Chief Economist Huw Pill reiterated that rates will likely need to rise again within the coming year if inflationary pressures persist, a view he backed with a dissenting vote for a 25-basis-point hike to 4.00% at the MPC’s 17-18 June meeting, alongside external member Megan Greene, though the majority of the seven-member Committee voted to hold at 3.75%. The Bank expects CPI inflation to remain around or above 3% through the second half of 2026, keeping the door open to further tightening even as UK growth data stays subdued and the RICS house price balance shows only tentative signs of stabilizing.
Technical Outlook
GBP/USD is pressing toward its strongest level since mid-June, having traded as high as 1.3444 this week, with the pair holding comfortably above its rising 50-day moving average in a constructive near-term structure. Momentum remains firm without extreme overbought readings, consistent with a genuine trend move rather than an exhausted spike. Resistance sits at 1.3444 (this week’s high) and 1.3460 (this trade’s target, the 52-week pivot zone). Support lies at 1.3375 (this trade’s buy-dip level) and 1.3330 (this week’s low). A confirmed break above 1.3460 would expose the 1.3545 area, while a close below 1.3330 would shift the near-term bias back toward the 200-day moving average.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) further BOE commentary ahead of the 30 July MPC meeting, particularly from Governor Bailey; (2) any progress on the UK’s political transition, with Andy Burnham yet to confirm his choice of Chancellor; (3) UK inflation and wage data due before the next MPC decision; (4) broad Dollar direction into the North American session, given Canada’s 12:30 GMT jobs report; (5) any further Iran-US headlines affecting broad risk appetite and oil-linked inflation expectations.
Silver
Fundamental Backdrop
Silver is easing near $59.46 an ounce, down around 1.4% on the session, even as a broadly softer Dollar this morning cushions the decline amid a fading Middle East risk premium tied to the tentative cooling in Iran-US tensions. The metal remains on track to close the week lower after a sharp pullback from levels above $61 earlier in the week, reflecting profit-taking after silver’s extraordinary run to a nominal all-time high of $121.67 in January and its subsequent volatile retracement. Longer-term structural demand drivers remain intact, including sustained industrial use in electronics and solar panels and a persistent multi-year supply deficit, even as near-term price action is dominated by shifting Fed rate-hike odds and Middle East headline risk.
Technical Outlook
Silver is consolidating within a wide range after its sharp fall from above $61 earlier in the week to as low as $57.67 on Wednesday, with today’s bounce testing the $59-$60 area. The metal remains well below its short-term moving averages after the past month’s roughly 10% pullback, consistent with a corrective phase within a still-intact multi-year uptrend. Resistance sits at $60.27 (Thursday’s overnight high) and $61.14 (this trade’s target, this week’s prior high). Support lies at $58.34 (this trade’s buy-dip level) and $57.67 (Wednesday’s low). A confirmed close below $57.67 would risk a deeper retracement toward $55.14, while a reclaim of $61.14 would open the door back toward the $64 area.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any further Iran-US headlines that could revive safe-haven demand; (2) Dollar direction into the North American session, given Canada’s 12:30 GMT jobs report; (3) Fed rate-hike repricing ahead of next week’s US CPI report and Fed Chair Warsh’s testimony; (4) broader precious-metals flows, including continued central-bank gold buying in Asia; (5) industrial-demand signals from electronics and solar-sector data.
FTSE 100
Fundamental Backdrop
The FTSE 100 closed Thursday down 0.16% at 10,483.00, extending Wednesday’s steeper 1.84% drop, as the index continues to lag continental peers that rallied on the overnight chip-sector bounce. The primary drag has been AstraZeneca, which slumped as much as 8.8% after its gene-silencing drug Wainua, developed with Ionis Pharmaceuticals, failed a late-stage trial to reduce heart complications in a rare cardiac disease, while energy majors Shell and BP have added pressure as oil eased back from its midweek spike. Offsetting some of the weakness, Computacenter, Antofagasta and Anglo American have posted solid gains, and Severn Trent confirmed trading remains in line with expectations for its new financial year, while UK house prices show tentative signs of stabilizing per the latest RICS survey.
Technical Outlook
The FTSE 100 is consolidating just below its 52-week high near 10,946, having pulled back from Thursday’s intraday range of 10,408 to 10,550 amid the AstraZeneca-led selloff. The index remains within its broader 2026 uptrend, with the recent pullback so far looking corrective rather than a trend reversal, though the healthcare-sector shock has introduced near-term two-way risk. Resistance sits at 10,550 (Thursday’s high) and 10,661 (this trade’s target, the early-July range top). Support lies at 10,431 (this trade’s buy-dip level) and 10,351 (this week’s low). A confirmed close below 10,351 would risk a deeper pullback toward 10,161, while a reclaim of 10,661 would re-open the path to fresh highs above 10,911.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any further Iran-US headlines affecting energy-sector sentiment via oil prices; (2) follow-through commentary on AstraZeneca’s pipeline and any analyst downgrades; (3) BOE Chief Economist Pill’s hawkish remarks and their read-through for UK equity valuations; (4) broader European risk appetite tracking the chip-led rally; (5) further RICS and UK housing-market data for signs of stabilization.
EU 20Y (German Bund Yield)
Fundamental Backdrop
The German 20-year Bund yield is holding firm near 3.36%, tracking the 10-year benchmark’s push to 3.06%, its highest level since May, as markets digest Thursday’s hawkish ECB June meeting accounts. Those minutes showed Governing Council members expect eurozone inflation to stay above the 2% target into the first half of 2027, reinforcing the case for the ECB to keep its three key rates — the main refinancing rate near 2.15%, the marginal lending facility at 2.40% and the deposit facility at 2.00% — unchanged into July while remaining alert to upside risks from renewed Middle East-linked energy price shocks. Germany’s own fiscal picture is adding a modest term-premium tailwind, with the cabinet’s approved 2027 budget draft outlining €555.4 billion in spending and raising planned borrowing to €203.6 billion, up from April’s €196.5 billion estimate.
Technical Outlook
The 10-year Bund yield has marked its longest winning streak since January this week, and the 20-year sector is tracking that move higher, holding within a multi-month range that has trended upward since Q2. The move higher in yields has so far been orderly rather than disorderly, consistent with a gradual repricing of ECB policy expectations rather than a disruptive selloff in Bund prices. Resistance (in yield terms) sits at 3.42% (this month’s high) and 3.52% (this trade’s target). Support lies at 3.28% (this trade’s buy-dip level, in yield terms) and 3.18% (the early-July base). A confirmed push above 3.52% would expose the 3.70% area, while a drop below 3.18% would suggest the hawkish repricing is losing momentum.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any further Iran-US headlines that could revive oil-driven inflation concerns; (2) follow-through ECB commentary on the June accounts ahead of the 22-23 July policy meeting; (3) German fiscal and budget-related headlines given the widened 2027 borrowing plan; (4) broader eurozone growth data, given the ECB’s modest 0.9% 2026 GDP growth projection; (5) US Treasury yield direction, given the historically tight cross-Atlantic correlation in long-dated yields.
Ethereum
Fundamental Backdrop
Ethereum is consolidating near $1,783.56, up roughly 4% over the past week even after today’s modest pullback, as the broader crypto complex tracks the improved risk appetite tied to Asia’s chip-led equity rally and the tentative Iran-US de-escalation. Vitalik Buterin’s newly published “Lean Ethereum” roadmap, which outlines quantum-safe cryptography and native STARKs targeting more than a tenfold reduction in fees, continues to support the longer-term institutional-adoption narrative, alongside reports that JPMorgan’s tokenized JLTXX money-market fund has grown its onchain assets under management by roughly 250% over the past month on the Ethereum network. The recent launch of Ethereum Institutional, a new nonprofit backed by BitMine, SharpLink and co-founder Joe Lubin, further underscores the deepening institutional infrastructure being built around the network.
Technical Outlook
Ethereum remains locked in a battle with the Supertrend and 50-day EMA confluence around $1,815-$1,816, a level that has capped every bounce attempt since the June selloff, with the pair trading in a $1,752-$1,792 range over the past several sessions. Prediction markets currently assign a 57% probability to ETH reaching $1,912 in July and a 32% probability of $2,012, reflecting cautiously bullish positioning despite the near-term technical hurdle. Resistance sits at $1,816 (the Supertrend/50-day EMA cluster) and $1,842 (this trade’s target). Support lies at $1,747 (this trade’s buy-dip level) and $1,705 (the 200-day moving average). A confirmed close above $1,816 would open the path toward $1,912-2,012, while a break below $1,705 would risk a retest of June’s lows near $1,559.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any further Iran-US headlines affecting broader crypto risk appetite; (2) Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the $64,000 handle, given Ethereum’s correlation to broader crypto beta; (3) continued spot Ethereum ETF flow data; (4) follow-through on Buterin’s Lean Ethereum roadmap and any developer pushback on its timeline; (5) further institutional tokenization announcements on the network.
Tether (USDT)
Fundamental Backdrop
Tether’s USDT continues to trade at its intended $1.00 peg despite a week of notable headlines. Revolut has confirmed it will delist USDT for EEA and Swiss retail customers by 31 August 2026, with purchases already halted on 6 July and deposits set to stop on 30 July, after Tether opted not to pursue authorization under the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation. Separately, Tether executed a $2.5 billion USDT burn on the Ethereum network on 7 July — its largest single redemption-driven reduction since February — which coincided with Binance’s USDT balance on Tron falling to its lowest level since December. On the more constructive side, Tether is preparing to relaunch USDT natively on Bitcoin via the RGB protocol within weeks, working with software firm UTEXO, a move that would return the stablecoin to the network where it first launched in 2014.
Technical Outlook
As a fiat-pegged stablecoin, USDT is not a directional trading instrument in the conventional sense; the relevant technical consideration is peg stability rather than price trend. The token has shown no material or sustained deviation from $1.00 through this week’s burn and regulatory headlines, consistent with Tether’s stated treasury-management explanation that large burns reflect redemptions and cross-chain rebalancing rather than any change in backing. Historically, USDT has traded in a tight band of roughly $0.998-$1.002 even during periods of elevated redemption activity, with any deviation beyond that range typically flagging a liquidity or confidence event worth monitoring closely.
Session Catalysts
Watch for: (1) any follow-through reserve attestation data from Tether reflecting this week’s $2.5 billion burn; (2) further regulatory developments in the EU as the MiCA framework’s stablecoin provisions bite into other retail platforms beyond Revolut; (3) progress on the native Bitcoin RGB-protocol launch and its reception among exchanges and wallets; (4) any additional large burns or mints signalling shifts in cross-chain stablecoin demand; (5) broader USDC and other MiCA-compliant stablecoin flows as a substitution signal within the EU.
European Session FAQ
Common questions about today’s key market movers, answered
European Session Summary — Friday, 10 July 2026 (Updated Mid-Session, 12:45 PM CEST)
Friday’s European session is muted rather than trending, per live Reuters and Investing.com coverage, with the Stoxx 600 up just 0.2% near 642.42 and on track for a weekly loss that could snap a four-week winning streak, as a roughly 2% rally in miners and a 13.4% EasyJet surge on a £5.7bn Apollo Global takeover approach are offset by renewed selling in chipmakers ASML, Soitec and Siltronic on AI-valuation caution ahead of SK Hynix’s US debut. The FTSE 100 remains the regional laggard, little-changed near 10,472-10,489 after Thursday’s 0.16% dip, still weighed by AstraZeneca’s near-9% slide after its Wainua drug failed a late-stage cardiac trial. Middle East risk has resurfaced rather than cooled: US strikes near Iran’s Bushehr nuclear facility have drawn Iranian missile fire on Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan, even as technical talks reportedly continue. In currencies, Sterling continues to extend its advance toward 1.3430, driven now as much by the unwinding of UK political-risk premium around Andy Burnham’s expected succession of Keir Starmer as prime minister as by Bank of England tightening bets, while the Euro holds comparatively firm but capped near 1.1430 against a resilient Dollar. Eurozone long-dated yields remain firm near multi-month highs, reflecting the same hawkish repricing playing out in rates markets. In commodities, Silver has pushed back above $60 to trade near $60.32 an ounce as a softer Dollar outweighs the renewed Middle East risk premium. In crypto, Ethereum is consolidating near $1,783.56 just below its closely watched $1,816 resistance cluster, while Tether’s USDT has held its $1.00 peg firmly despite a $2.5 billion Ethereum burn and Revolut’s move to delist the token across the EEA under MiCA. Highest-conviction session idea: buy Sterling dips against the Dollar toward 1.3375, targeting 1.3460 — the combination of BOE tightening bets, a fading UK political-risk premium, and a softer broad Dollar forms a clean directional case, though any renewed escalation in the US-Iran conflict reviving broad Dollar safe-haven demand is a real risk to this trade.
For the individual instruments: EUR/USD buy dips toward 1.4401, stop 1.4366, target 1.4491 — the hawkish ECB accounts and today’s broadly softer Dollar are genuine near-term tailwinds, though the pair’s position below its 50-day moving average within a broader 2026 downtrend is a real headwind to a sustained recovery. GBP/USD buy dips toward 1.3375, stop 1.3330, target 1.3460 — Huw Pill’s direct hawkish signalling and this week’s four-week-high breakout are genuine tailwinds, though any reversal in the Iran-US de-escalation reviving broad Dollar strength is a real risk to this trade. Silver buy dips toward $58.34, stop $56.94, target $61.14 — the softer Dollar and intact multi-year structural supply deficit are genuine tailwinds, though the metal’s sharp fall from above $61 earlier this week and its position on track for a weekly loss are real near-term headwinds. FTSE 100 buy dips toward 10,431, stop 10,351, target 10,661 — the index’s position just below its 52-week high and today’s regional risk-on tone are genuine tailwinds, though the AstraZeneca-driven healthcare shock and softer oil weighing on energy majors are real near-term headwinds. EU 20Y buy dips toward 3.28% (yield), stop 3.18%, target 3.52% — the hawkish ECB accounts and Germany’s widened 2027 borrowing plan are genuine tailwinds for higher yields, though a durable Iran-US de-escalation reducing oil-driven inflation risk is a real headwind to further yield increases. Ethereum buy dips toward $1,747, stop $1,697, target $1,842 — the Lean Ethereum roadmap and rising institutional tokenization activity are genuine tailwinds, though the $1,816 Supertrend/50-day EMA cluster is a real technical barrier that has capped every recent bounce. Tether (USDT) monitor for peg deviation, fade sub-$0.9990 prints toward $1.0000 parity — the token’s historically tight peg band and routine treasury-management explanation for this week’s burn are reassuring, though the combination of heavy redemptions and expanding EU regulatory restriction is a trend worth watching closely over time. The decisive variables for the remainder of the session are Canada’s 12:30 GMT employment report, any further Iran-US headlines, and whether today’s chip-led equity bid can hold into the US afternoon. Size positions accordingly, and note that the Iran-US situation in particular remains fluid and carries genuine event risk that could reshape sentiment intraday.
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