Blackstone (BX) Stock: Can 107.50 Support Hold After Weaker Q3 Exits?
Stocks to Watch Shares, earnings catalyst
Thursday 22 October 2026
BX
Blackstone Inc. NYSE, United States, asset management
110.24
+0.67 (+0.61%) at 13:42 GMT, range 107.75–110.24
Wednesday close 109.57, −0.70% of that session
Blackstone (BX) Stock: Can 107.50 Support Hold After Weaker Q3 Exits?
- Catalyst
- Q3 results, 22 October
- Status
- Results out, shares recovering
- Desk sentiment
- 0, neutral
- Next earnings
- date unconfirmed
Desk Summary
Blackstone traded at 110.24 at 13:42 GMT, up 0.6% after an early low of 107.75, as third-quarter distributable earnings of $1.32 a share beat the $1.26 consensus while revenue of $3.06 billion missed (company release, Reuters). Net inflows reached $63 billion, but net realisations fell 34%. We prefer Plan A, buying 107.50–108.40 with a stop at 106.40, and switch to Plan B on a daily close below 107.50. Answer: Yes, while daily closes hold above 107.50, with 112.00 the first cap.
Key highlights
- Catalyst: Earnings beat, revenue miss, $63 billion inflows, exits slower
- Levels: Resistance 111.80–112.60, 115.50–117.00; support 107.50–108.40, 104.20–105.00
- Backdrop: Higher yields, oil near $112 and private-credit caution
Blackstone Trade Setups: Buy Support at 107.50–108.40
Plan A Buy the support Long, medium conviction
Entry zone107.50–108.40
- Stop loss
- 106.40
- Target 1
- 111.80
- Target 2
- 116.00
- Reward:risk
- 2.5 and 5.2
Average entry 107.95, risk $1.55 a share. The zone covers the post-results low at 107.75; targets sit at 111.80 and 116.00.
Plan B Short the breakdown Short, on confirmation
TriggerDaily close below 107.50
- Entry
- 107.20
- Stop loss
- 108.70
- Target 1
- 105.00
- Target 2
- 102.00
- Reward:risk
- 1.5 and 3.5
Risk $1.50 a share. A close under 107.50 opens the 104.20–105.00 band, then 102.00 above the 101.73 low.
Event risk: A daily close below 106.40 cancels Plan A, and the Federal Reserve decision at 18:00 GMT on 28 October can gap the shares through either stop.
Blackstone Sentiment Heat Map: Neutral, 0
Client inflows
$63.3bnAgainst $44.9bn expectedDistributable EPS
$1.32Beat $1.26 consensusAnalyst consensus
Buy24 analysts, target $139.91Valuation
24.6x earningsBelow 41.3x five-year medianRevenue
$3.06bnBelow estimates of about $3.2bnPrice trend
−33% from highUnder the 200-day averagePrivate credit
BCRED redemptionsQ2 requests 10%, capped 5%Net realisations
$332mDown 34% as exits slowedNet score 0 on a scale of −16 to +16. Each tile scores −2 to +2.
Catalyst File: Earnings Beat, Weaker Exits
| Distributable earnings | $1.72 billion, $1.32 a share, down 13% per share |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.06 billion, below estimates of about $3.2 billion |
| Fee-related earnings | $1.57 billion, up 6%, against $1.59 billion reported consensus |
| Net realisations | $332 million, down 34% as exits slowed |
| Net inflows | $63.3 billion against $44.9 billion expected |
| Assets under management | $1.37 trillion, up 10% year on year |
| Segments | Credit and insurance +4%; real estate −10%; private equity −7% |
| Dividend | $1.12 a share, record 2 November, paid 9 November |
Reaction Map: 107.50 Decides the Next Leg
Support holds, buyers return
111.80, then 116.00
Buy 107.50–108.40 and scale out at targets
Range persists
107.50, then 112.00
Trade the band edges and stay selective
Close below support
107.50, then 104.20
Plan B short; Plan A cancelled under 106.40
BX Chart: Price Between 107.50 Support and 112.00 Resistance
- Trend: Shares sit 33% under the 165.14 high, with rallies capped near 112.00.
- Averages: Price trades below the 200-day average; 20-day, 50-day and RSI(14) readings to be added from the chart.
- Floor: Support at 107.50–108.40 holds the post-results low at 107.75; 104.20–105.00 and the 101.73 low follow.
Blackstone by the Numbers: Inflows Strong, Exits Weak
- Distributable EPS
- $1.32
- Beat $1.26 consensus
- Revenue
- $3.06bn
- Missed about $3.2bn
- Net inflows
- $63.3bn
- Against $44.9bn expected
- Assets under management
- $1.37tn
- Up 10% year on year
- Net realisations
- $332m
- Down 34%
- Quarterly dividend
- $1.12
- Paid 9 November
Catalyst Calendar in GMT
22 Oct
US open, first full session after results
28 Oct
Federal Reserve rate decision
2 Nov
Record date for $1.12 dividend, US close
Blackstone Company News Behind the Move
Blackstone third-quarter distributable earnings fall 13% to $1.32 a share
Reuters said volatility slowed exits; global M&A fell 41% on the quarter, according to LSEG data. Reuters, 22 Oct 2026
Goldman Sachs keeps Neutral on Blackstone, $128 target
Goldman cites real estate headwinds for management-fee growth, expecting more than 10% growth in 2027. Investing.com, 22 Oct 2026
Blackstone closes $8.7 billion energy transition fund
Energy Transition Partners V closes at $8.7 billion, about 50% above its predecessor. Business Wire, 19 Oct 2026
Blackstone Price Targets: Where the Street Sees the Stock
24 analysts rate Blackstone Buy on average, with a mean target of 139.91, 26.9% above 110.24 (StockAnalysis, 22 October).
Bottom Line
Yes, while 107.50 holds
Blackstone's third-quarter distributable earnings beat estimates, but revenue missed and exits slowed, leaving 107.50–108.40 as the level that matters. Plan A buys that zone with a stop at 106.40 and targets of 111.80 and 116.00. A daily close below 107.50 turns the view to Plan B, while the Federal Reserve decision at 18:00 GMT on 28 October can cancel either plan.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Why is Blackstone stock in focus today?
Blackstone reported third-quarter distributable earnings of $1.32 a share, above the $1.26 consensus, but revenue of $3.06 billion missed and net realisations fell 34%.
What is the Blackstone trade setup?
Plan A buys 107.50–108.40 with a stop at 106.40 and targets at 111.80 and 116.00. Plan B shorts a daily close below 107.50.
How much did Blackstone earn in the third quarter of 2026?
Distributable earnings were $1.72 billion, or $1.32 a share, down 13% per share; GAAP net income was $1.3 billion, according to the company release.
When does Blackstone report its next earnings?
Blackstone has not confirmed its next earnings date. Until then, the Federal Reserve decision at 18:00 GMT on 28 October is the next scheduled event for the shares.
